Lightning Strikes Twice – Version 2 Does it Again!

I have incredible news….

Just yesterday I shared with you that we began tracking All the programs top selections, in addition to the Potential Bet Standouts that the program identifies in order to monitor how Version 2 is performing when this amazing result happened again. We actually produced a flat bet profit if we bet the programs top selection in every single race on July 3rd and July 4th!

Yesterday there were 159 races with 10 races not offering a payout for show; 56 won for a 35% win rate, 29 placed for and 18.23% place rate, and 22 showed for a 13.84% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 67.29%. Bet $2 across on all 159 (minus the 10 no show payout) we would have invested $934 and received a payout of $957 for an overall profit of $23 had we bet the programs top selection in every single race! This is nothing short of amazing! To download the PDF with the full results for the last two days click here

A note about yesterday’s Potential Bet Standout list that differed from 7/3s Potential Standouts is 7/4s produced a slight loss. There were 52 potential bet standouts with 2 races not offering a payout for show. Had we bet $2 across we would have invested $308 and received back $305.90 for a loss of $2.10. 22 won for a 42% win rate, 10 placed for a 19.2% place rate and 8 showed for a 15.4% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 76.9%.

It’s important to note that the Potential Bet Standout list does change, sometimes several times during the day of the races. This is due to variables such as scratches, jockey switches, track conditions excreta so our developers included a feature for me to be able to update the report throughout race day. I make note of this because access to these changes is imperative to making our investment decisions.

There will be races that are no longer on the list and ones that were added. This is due to the ratings because in order to make the potential bet standout list there has to be at least a 10 point higher spread in a rating in the order of runners from the next runners rating. In other words if the programs first selection has a rating of a 90 and the next runner has an 80, then the 90 rated horse makes the list. So if there are scratches or jockey switches these changes can impact the ratings. Say a horse that made this list has a rating of 90 and this runner is scratched and leaves the highest rated horse an 80 and then the next best runner is the same race is 70 or less, then the 80 rated horse would replace the scratched 90 high rated horse on the standout list. However if the 80 rated horse remained and the next best rating was 71, then no runner from that race would replace the scratched runner because of a 9 point difference, not 10.

In addition, there are tracks that I initially would Not bet so we do not include these in the day list that my assistants prepare for me yet we still monitor their results. As an example HST, ASD, Canadian tracks or LA Los Alamitos (not LRC which is all T-breds) so any track that runs a mixture of quarter horse races on the same card as some T-breds.
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Because I received a note from one of the shareholders that he did not receive yesterday’s email about reaching this milestone, I’m including that message below. Don’t want one person missing out on our progress.

Been tracking the Standout Potential Bet results of Version 2, a total of 15 days, and so far we have had only 3 days where we lost money if we bet all, one day we broke even (made .10 cents) though on this day the standouts were in the money 85%, with the remaining 11 days profitable that all combined summed positive and we have maintained an on average 72.5% in the money! 

This is an amazing accomplishment and just when you think the news couldn’t get any better, yesterday I decided to track all the program’s top selections for all races at all race tracks running in our database, meaning not just the “Standout Potential Bets” but each full race cards top picks and there were 153 races with 12 not offering a payout for show which if we bet $2 across the board on each, 49 won for a 32% win rate, 26 placed for a 16.9% place rate and 22 showed for a 14.3% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 63.33% we would have invested $894 and got back $953.70 for a total profit of $59.70 if we bet every single race’s top pick!  This is almost unbelievable and a most welcome surprise. 

The Standouts which were also profitable with 53 races at $2 across on each, 21 won for a 40% win rate, 15 placed for a 28.8% place rate and 2 showed for a 3.8% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 71.6%, we would have invested $318 and got back $371 for a total profit of $53.00 which shows us how great our program is already at pulling out the best potential wagers because the profit for the 53 races the program selected as the Standouts almost alone produced the full profit for the day.  $59.70 overall for 153 races, and $53.00 profit for 53 races which betting all 153 only produced $6.70 difference.  Though that doesn’t include any cash return on the investment where had we bet all 153 we would have averaged another 5% or around another $44.70 for a total overall profit of $104.40 by betting $2 across the board on all 153!

To put this in perspective, say we bet $20 across instead of $2, our overall profit would be $1,044, or $200, our overall profit for the day would be $10,440 so you can see what’s in store.

I realize this is one day and until we have more overall days tracked (which today began the first of tracking all), we’ll be able to gauge if this is on going and also the best approach however after reviewing this I couldn’t wait to share this great news!

Great News! Version 2 Woo Hoo!

On Monday 6/20/22 we deployed Version 2 and in just three days of racing have experienced major progress to our betting program with the most noticeable improvement in the daily list of Potential Bet Summary reaching on average 30 to 40% winners and an overall on average in the money of 70% and if bet $2 to win, place and show on every runner that made the list (which we will never do because of weighing odds to percentages), we prove a flat bet profit betting all!

Let’s share this fantastic news again
Before Version 2 and from the dates of 11/28 through 4/5/22 there were 5,115 Potential Bets of which 1,358 of these won for a 26.5% win rate, 2,307 placed for a 45% place rate and 2,995 showed for a 58.6% show rate, however 33 of these did not offer investments on show bets leaving 2,962 having a payout. If we had placed $2 across the board on all 5,115, we would have invested $30,690 and received back $24,968.70 for an overall loss of $5,721.30 or 18.6%.

Since June 20th when Version 2 was deployed, even with several additional adjustments pending, the program listed 123 Potential Bets of which 39 won for an on average of 31% win rate, 30 placed for an on average of 24% place rate and 18 showed for an on average of 14.6% show rate for an overall on average 70% hit rate in the money. If we bet $2.00 across on all 123 (minus 4 races that did not offer a show payout) we would have wagered $730 and received back $805 for an overall flat bet Profit of $75 if bet all! 🙂 🙂 🙂

PB BETS 6/20 through 6/22 Page 1
PB BETS 6/20 through 6/22 Page 2
PB BETS 6/20 through 6/22 Page 3
PB Bets 6/20 through 6/22 Page 4

For a pdf version of Version 2 Potential Bet Results Report
Click Here

Keep in mind that during Version 1 I was unable to completely rely on the Potential Bet list to make our bets knowing that getting these base algorithms in place was the first step and adjusting and adding algorithms in later versions that define the hierarchy of each runners rating would substantially improve in later versions, so when I placed our wagers my selections were not exclusively from this list. I did however prove us profitable by making selections from Ed’s 4-race form cycle statistics displayed to me from the runners listed below the top pick.

To define, when a runner has a positive trainer or trainer/jockey move on one of Ed’s 4-race form cycle stats of Layoffs, Claims or Debuts, that runner receives a positive point in the hierarchy of things and so on and everything is specific to track, class, distance and surface and we realized going in that we could be tweaking the numbers too much though we’d know what adjustments to make by monitoring the results which had a big impact on the adjustments made for Version 2.

The ultimate goal for the Potential Bet list, that we are confident we will obtain in increments as we add algorithms to Versions is for the program to produce a daily report of the best investment opportunities for each day reaching 70 to 75% on average wins, that hit and profit from all odds levels.

The following is a list of what was in Version 1 followed by Version 2:

Version 1 includes:

Algorithms that are and always will be Specific to: Track, Class, Distance and Surface (soon to include surface condition)

Benter’s algorithms

Ed Bain 4-race form cycle algorithms for:
Layoffs
Claims
Debuts races

Jockey-Trainer statistics

Hierarchy by rating of Projected runners in order of finish for each race determined by the algorithms

Standouts (Potential Bet Summary)
The standouts is a list of the module selected runners who have an overwhelming (currently set at minimum of 10 point spread) rating higher than all other runners in any particular race.

Results
The ability to export all race results to spreadsheets for every thoroughbred track running in our database in order for us to monitor our progress and know what we should adjust.

Version 2 includes:

All within Version 1. Because as expected the results prove the settings too skewed, (a temporary ongoing occurrence through fruition) the adjustments in this version are as follows;

Change in distances
Instead of specific to each distance we are separating and grouping together 5.5 furlongs and under, 6 furlongs through and including 7 furlongs, 7.5 furlongs through and including 1 mile 1/16, and 1 mile and 1/8 and longer.

Change is Class Grouping (in place of each specific to)
Allowance
Claims
Optional Claims
MSW
MCL
MOC

Age
Dissecting how mixed age groups perform within specific categories, 2 year olds alone, 3 year olds alone, 3 and 4 year olds, 3 4 5 year olds, 3 4 5 year olds and up within same race and 5 to 6 year olds and up in the same race.

Most important Change of all
Additional emphasis added to Ed’s 4-race form cycle statistics as the results show these as a good percentage portion of the wins.

Ed’s statistics are what I chose to bet in conjunction with a very select group from the Potential Bet list when using Version 1 and are the reason I was able to prove profitable before Version 2. Though I must say that I had to handicap for hours every day to accomplish this and knowing that this would all change with an influx of capital as progressing requires an influx is the very reason I switched gears to do so. And as previously stated I’ll remain quiet on this topic until the influx of capital is in hand.




Belmont Pick 6

Happy Belmont Stakes Day. The pick 6 looks rather chalky today so I don’t want to invest a lot. Here’s our wager:

06/11 11:13 AM Belmont 6 $1.00 P6 1 / 4 / 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 12, 13 / 1, 2 / 2, 4, 9 / 1, 3, 6 $126.00

Good Luck to everyone today!

Derby Pick 6 Wagers


We also bet a Pick 4 just in case:

05/07 12:01 PM Churchill Downs 9 $0.50 P4 6, 7 /1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 / 6 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 21 $140.00

Hi everyone.

Happy Derby Day!

Just wanted to let you know our Pick 6 Wagers for the Derby:

05/07 10:55 AM Churchill Downs 7 $0.20 P6 10 / 2.4.5.7 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 / 8 / 3 $56.00

05/07 10:55 AM Churchill Downs 7 $0.20 P6 10 / 2,4,5,7 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11 / 3 / 8 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 21 $160.00

05/07 10:55 AM Churchill Downs 7 $0.20 P6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 11, 12 / 2 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 11 / 3 / 8 / 6 $20.00

05/07 10:55 AM Churchill Downs 7 $0.20 P6 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12 / 2, 4, 5, 7 / 6, 7 / 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 / 6 / 3, 6, 10 $403.20

Best of luck,

Susan

Why the Final PB Report may Not Match the one Posted

Just want to make everyone aware of the reasons the final Potential Bet Report may not match the one posted.

The program calculates the stats showing on the Potential Bet Reports the evening before considering All races on a Fast or Firm track surface. However, once race day arrives changes such as scratches, jockey switches, surface conditions and sometimes even surface and distance changes occur when turf races are taken off the grass.

And because it’s imperative that the program matches today’s changes while making decisions for our bets, we’ve implemented a feature to the program that on race day these numbers are recalculated.

It’s necessary to re-compute the days stats during the day because the later tracks changes are not presented at the same time as the earlier ones.

Additionally there are other factors that would require another recalculation because a track like Gulfstream may start out Fast and Firm and then they have a heavy rain and races are taken off the turf or the surface is changed to “Good” or “Yielding” so because we’re investing, it’s necessary to recalculate. And when doing so, these factors Can and Do contribute to changes in the Potential Bet Report that was posted the previous day which is The Reason you’ll sometimes see different runners on these reports.

The Parlay Bet

In the late 90s Ed and I were guests of the Reno Hilton during the Preakness Stakes and while there the Casino manager wanted to share an idea with Ed that he had about Parlay Bets and how he could apply the concept of baseball parlays to racing. Enthused about conveying this idea to Ed and making sure to have his full attention he made reservations for us at their finest Italian restaurant aware of this being Ed’s and my preferred cuisine after reading about all the times we dined at our favorite restaurant Pines of Rome when we enjoyed a big day at the track.

To the manager’s disappointment, Ed wasn’t able to attend because he got food poisonings from breakfast so he was left explaining this concept to me. And even though by this time I had acquired a great deal of knowledge towards betting exotics, the only understanding I had about Parlay bets is I recalled learning after the fact of Ed making his first and only parlay bet to this date that happened to be on 7 races at Santa Anita Park, of which he made it through the first 6 and mentioned that he made the bet when the final leg opened wagering and someone joked “look some idiot just put $30,000 to show on the 6 horse” and Ed confessed. 🙂

We happened to be standing and talking with a clocker friend we met during this Santa Anita trip and he and I both said, why did you make the parlay on 7 races? Why not stop at 3 or 4? And Ed’s reply was this was the first opportunity that he had to make an actual parlay wager on racing and they offered your choice of win, place or show finishing positions. So rather than bet each race, which was actually extremely difficult for Ed to do, even while on vacation he was disciplined as he Only Ever made the specific days bets no matter where he was placing them, so this was a way he could wager on the first race and if hit, he can sit through and enjoy every leg as the day moved on. Made sense and he did admit that he really did not expect that the initial $200 wager would evolve to $30K by the last race and when reality struck, he said next time I know to limit the number of races however next time never came because Santa Anita stopped the parlays. I believe they offer them again however only on track.

Another part to this that is a must share is often times people have a misconception about me and I understand why because I love horse racing with a passion, have knowledge on whose who, who’s related to who, who gives the best mounts to who and can basically recall every big hit and who the trainers were that this same passion flows over into other sports and that is not at all the case. I absolutely know Nothing about any other sport, except maybe for what a 3 point basket is or when someone has a touch down but other than the basics, I always relied on Ed to translate and since he was absent, I found it necessary to explain once Steve the casino manager began talking.

Well…… this concept did not fall on deaf ears and I was actually able to explain this to Ed and this is how it works:

Bet X amount on your selection at any track to either win, place or show and then parlay these winnings over to any other selection at any track to either win, place or show and stop there.

Then duplicate this ticket Only add another race parlay on a selection at any track to either win, place or show and stop there.

The concept is if you make it through the first two, you cash so if you miss the 3rd leg you still make money. The sky is the limit meaning the number of races you wish to add as long as you duplicate the originals.

The Casino offered to book the bets for Ed however we would have had to live in Reno and that wasn’t an option so Ed, the most self disciplined person I ever met, began making his own Parlay bets.

Putting this into numbers will relay how difficult making these wagers yourself can be. As an example, bet $200 to win on a horse that pays $10 means, you’d manually be rolling over the $1,000 you just won into your next bet and once you have the $1,000 in hand the option to not roll over is easier than putting the full amount into the next bet. I for one could not do it and even Ed couldn’t continue so essentially the parlay bet dissipated from our options until………..

We have been granted this option through our Zen account though only on the Santa Anita and Del Mar tracks. So I am in the process of adding this wager to our routine. Starting small in order to figure out the best way, however, I view this as one of the biggest opportunities we have to date because unlike baseball parlays where you have to pick the winner, we can choose to bet win, place, and/or show and since our potential bets run 60% in the money, this could be quite lucrative. Albeit contained to these two tracks, once down, it’s a matter of size though you can see from Ed’s initial investment of $200 was worth $30K by the time he reached the 7th race.

When we first discovered on track parlay bets at Santa Anita they offered parlays between the Southern and Northern California tracks. In other words you could bet a win parlay in the first leg at Santa Anita and then choose those winning to roll over to a race at Golden Gate and go back and forth through the day. By the time Ed made his first live parlay wager this was no longer the case but it gave him an idea that he actually discussed once with a person who worked for auto tote. If pari-mutual wagering offered parlays that cross to different tracks that this would be a boom to the industry since the tracks money is made from the amount wagered.

To explain, say you make a $200 win wager at Fair Grounds and it hits for $10, then the next bet is at Gulfstream where $1,000 would then wager on their track and it hits and pays $6, then the $3,000 would roll over to the next track say Santa Anita and so on. Great idea however at the time Ed was told it would be an almost impossible option cause you’d have to coordinate such through all the various tracks. Today may be different especially if coordinated with the corporations that own multiple tracks.

We had an overall break even week last week. We bet several parlays at Santa Anita and though we bet small, it was the parlays that bought us to about even. All our wagers can be viewed at the following link: https://anyhorseplayersoutthere.com/zen-wagers-2022/

Climbing to 10,500 Feet

I found this “Pre Ed” photo of my jump masters and me from my skydiving days while transferring our VHS tapes to digital and thought it would be fun to share a part of my life that was truly amazing and how this experience has stayed with me throughout.

A lot of people perceive that when someone is involved in a sport such as this, mountain climbing, hand gliding or base jumping, that the person must have a death wish and I can say that the opposite is true.

There is nothing like being under canopy taking in all the surroundings, seeing the horizon, the square cut pastures of land and birds in flight as you sail past. An adventure I shall always cherish, not unlike the ride we’ve been on together even though we haven’t yet reached safe altitude of 10,500 feet to take the full plunge, at 20% on average return on our investments, we’re climbing fast.

While in the process of sharing about our venture in order to fill Zen’s remaining open shares to properly fund our betting bank, I’ve decided to take this time to not only explore, but also to build into making larger bets.

As previously mentioned Ed was the “Win” bettor in our family, and this income stability afforded me the opportunity to figure out how to successfully wager exotics. Though since Zen’s stability rides on a similar foundation of 70 to 75% of our wagers should be placed on win, place, show and daily doubles, I have to work on switching mindset to not only make more of these types of wagers, I have to bet big, and honestly betting big on win, place, show wagers doesn’t come easy for me.

I believe the reason is that when I’m taking the plunge on an exotic bet it’s because I see something with excellent odds and I’m landing in a race that I perceive the favorite to be vulnerable. Though my perception isn’t always correct which has become an acceptable part of making these wagers, when I do plunge into a race, I’m covering the odds horse in every way. As an example say I have a 20/1 shot that I believe will come in the money, then I not only have the horse on top and bottom in exactas with all, I’m also going after tris placing the runner in 3rd and 4th in supers and this usually takes a lot of money however when hit, the payouts can be massive as all of us have already seen when we hit the $12K super last year at Woodbine. Betting a lot of money this way doesn’t worry me because I feel that I have this 20/1 shot covered so if this horse does come in then we cash.

On the other hand a good portion of our win, place, show, and daily double bets are Not going to be 20/1. More like 3/1 ($8 return) or 5/2 ($7.20 return) and to make money betting this way it’s imperative for us to bet Large and just as important to bet the runner where we believe where they will come in, win place Or Show and I’m going to use an example from our most recent week to share what I mean.

I bet $500 to show on the 6 horse at Aqueduct in Race 5 on 3/5/22 which was a large bet for us and part of increasing our bet size per race, HOWEVER the 57% show was the reason why. Even though this horse Won and went off at true odds of 2.25 or 2/1 that paid $2.70 to show, our venture is about cashing where we perceive things will unfold. Again nothing ever means that our betting decision is precise, because it’s about winning AND cashing and to make sure we stay according to path, it’s imperative to abide by statistics and what they relay.

In closing I wish to share a story. Way back when Ed and me lived in Maryland, we went to live racing as much as possible. Because of Ed’s growing notoriety in the 90s we often had racing enthusiasts introduce themselves and one guy in particular that we met complained heavily about a horse named Ten Keys. Though before my time in racing, Ten Keys was a claimed horse by trainer Michael Pino who went on to win multiple stakes wins. I can’t say exactly what Pino claimed the horse for because this was so long ago however my recollection was he claimed him for $10K.

Any how, this handicapper complained constantly about Pino and Ten Keys saying that this horse would have won much more because of yada yada yada. And at the time I wasn’t in the place that I am now with betting so I didn’t fully comprehend his complaining and just knew that this was a complaint because Ed had said so. The complaining consisted of this handicapper saying that “If Pino did this” OR “If Pino did that” that the horse would have been better. Yet I do recall that after the claim Michael Pino won over a million dollars with this horse.

What has stuck with me all these years, after this and also after witnessing Ed becoming the successful handicapper that he was is “None of Us know precisely what is going to unfold in Any race” and if you decide to enter And You Cash, that This IS successful. So why complain about what “could of or would of” been. You cashed. You made $. And this is truly what all this is about.

One final note. I’ve had what other players view as professionals say that they would Never Ever tell what they were betting, before or after and have even been told that I was being brave letting it be known what I actually bet. And my response to this is, If You understand statistics and apply these accordingly, win or lose which Will Happen, the end result is what matters. And if you can show a profit, consistently and overall, that this is a truly amazing accomplishment.

Yes, you can ALWAYS arm chair quarterback and see things clearly “After the Race” HOWEVER it’s before the race and the decision that you make that Really Matters. AND if you can show in the long run that your decisions ARE profitable, then this is All That Matters.

And this is where we Are today 🙂

The Other Elephant in the Room

One of the main components pertaining to our venture that has been at the forefront of my thoughts since we began is how to make sure what we built continues and just as paramount, a way of securing everyone’s investments in the case that I am rendered immobile. So this blog post is all about what we have in place in the event.

My sincere apologies for not writing about this sooner, especially after several months back when I shared about the health issues I face and I want you to know that this was purely because of the many hats that I wear and before having assistants there really wasn’t enough hours in a day to fill all that I wished to accomplish. 🙁

The continuance of our venture has two parts; the betting program and the database that feeds the information in order for us to know which runners to bet. Along with these essentials are what keeps things moving so the following addresses each.

The Betting Program

Zen Racing Stats LLC owns the betting program, however Zen does not own the database, a crucial part that without we would not be able to keep going. And this database must be constantly maintained; daily updates, daily cleaning meaning making sure everything’s lines up and even though this may not sound like a massive task, it is! Because if names do not match up; as an example jockey Joel Rosario is entered in our database as J. Rosario, J Rosario (without the period), Rosario, Joel, Rosario, J, ectara, and the same aliasing applies for owners, and trainers, the stats would be off and since we’re betting money, we have to rely on the accuracy of the output in our data. Without this, we would not have success. And since a clean maintained database is imperative to our success, this maintenance is included in our monthly operating expense minus the cost of the monthly data feed until we get to the point of paying dividends regularly.

The Database

The database is owned by my other company equi-stats and my partners of which one is our head developer who happens to be the reason why the team of developers have let us run a balance for their work and equi-stats owns 60% of Zen Racing which is the reason why we only offered 40 total buy in shares for Zen.

equi-stats has additional silent partners of which some have elected to convert all their shares to Zen while others have both and two partners in particular invest in horse racing bets. These two individuals are my back up bettors. They know everything about our program as we move along which includes what to look for during each stage of development and what to bet. Keep in mind that we will be evolving for quite awhile and once we got to the point where I’ve proven to myself by making bets that we can consistently profit 20%, I knew it was not only time to get Zen Racing properly funded, while waiting it’s also time for me to experiment which is why you’ll see the profit numbers fluctuate from week to week. I plan to get into more details regarding this in a later post though wanted to mention in case you’re following our progress, that this is expected and not a issue with the program.

The horse racing database that equi-stats owns is priceless. There are very few who own one so our first order of protecting everyone’s investment and ensuring our venture continues in case of my passing is each investor in Zen will be given 1 share of equi-stats and as long as you own a share in Zen you will own that share in equi-stats. Should this come to be and you decide to sell back your share in Zen, you would also be selling back your one share in equi-stats and to further assure I want you to know that all this is written and notarized in my revocable living trust.

Why we Purposely Held back 4 and 1/2 shares

We had more people who wanted to buy in than the number of shares offered when we were initially putting all this together, however, the reason I kept back the 4 and 1/2 shares was it soon became apparent that the cost to pull all this together was far greater than what we set the initial buy in investment for. Yet in order to get things in motion, the buy in had to be obtainable. And understanding that once we were moving that eventually we’d get to the point where our program was useable, meaning we could bet and in a short time prove profitable, that the per share buy in value could very well be off the scale. So once we reached this proven milestone as we’ve been consistently profitable since December when Benter’s algorithms were added to Ed’s, I knew it was time for Zen Racing Stats LLC to be properly funded and the time came to open up these remaining shares.

And since our venture has always been about all of us and sharing what we built together and not about making a profit from building such, I’ve set the buy in for these shares for the amount that we actually require verses an astronomical amount just because we could. Even though filling these shares for a much less amount than we could ask will probably take as long as it would take by asking for more, it opens the door to investors that we’d want to have in our venture verses potential investors who have a lot of money that believe their investment entitles them to more which is not someone we want in.

And the reason I’ve chosen at this time to sporadically bet is because opening up these shares requires my full attention. A lot of correspondence and presenting what we have. There’s plenty of opportunities waiting for us to capitalize on though wouldn’t it be a better place for us all if when I am betting that we’re at the point of self sufficiency and paying all of us dividends. We just had to get things rolling first. And though it’s taken time to get here, what we’ve accomplished required a massive undertaking and we did it. We’re here and we accomplished all this together.

It wasn’t until recent that I realized that when I shared the things that I face regarding my health that it would have been the right time to share the steps we’ve taken that are already in place to protect everyone’s investment.

Which brings me to another personal story that I wish to share.
My mother raised my three brothers and me to always put our best forward no matter what we face. So if we were going through a personal hardship, that it is just this, personal and not for anyone else to concern themselves with. And by doing so this gave us strength to keep moving. To do whatever it takes to get yourself to a place where you can keep going and this is me. This is what I do every day and plan to do till I’m rendered immobile or till it’s my time to go and my brothers are the same way.

I can say this because two and a half years ago my brother Steve was diagnosed with Stage 4 cancer and was told he had around 6 months to live. His life has not been easy since. He’s had brain surgery of which he actually recovered from in one day and came home the day after. He chose to treat with immuno-therapy, and experienced a great deal of side effects that included days of non stop coughing, passing out without warning, not being able to eat, and on and on. And not only is he still going, he’s still going strong and he and my niece were the ones who just came to see me a few weeks ago. And this was at a time when I really needed his company more than any other due to the recent loss of my two kitties. This was because Steve and Ed were good friends way before Ed came into my life. Steve is the person who I met Ed through. And because of covid, I haven’t seen anyone in my family since Ed passed and when the time came where they could visit, there was no one that I wanted to see more than Steve. So if my brother can overcome stage 4 cancer and keep going strong, there is no reason I can’t keep going strong too. Haven’t been stopped yet and that alone says a lot because it’s been since 2011 when I was diagnosed.

I didn’t keep going to let all the good that’s coming our way happen without me. I’m along for the ride too and plan to enjoy fully with you. What we’ve built together is truly amazing and we’re at the place where we’re ready to sail once properly funded. Though just in case, I want you to know the steps we’ve taken and the provisions that we have in place.

Now That We’re Here

Since we’ve arrived to this wonderful place where we have proven a consistent profit of on average 20% return on our investment, with the understanding that once properly funded, we will continue to progress to an on average 30% return, then on average 40% return and …….. more, it’s time for Zen Racing Stats LLC to fill the 4 and 1/2 remaining open shares so we can begin paying dividends which is the reason filling these shares has now become my main focus.

Realizing what we have already accomplished is substantial because of the proven results that we could ask for a lot more than $100K per share for these 4 and 1/2 remaining open ones knowing once filled, opt in options will be no more, making money on assembling our venture has never been our focus. If it was we wouldn’t have turned down several recent lucrative offers to purchase our program even in its current form. Additionally, offering these shares for precisely what we require will get us to the point of paying dividends quicker.

After last weeks blog post I’ve been asked by several shareholders if I would be willing to give access to this blog to people that they know who have expressed interest and my answer is absolutely. Anyone you know that has serious interest in investing thus becoming part of our venture should send me an email edbain@edbain.com expressing so, including the name of the current shareholder who discussed this potential investment with them and I’ll set up temporary access as well as answer any questions they may have.

Since the center of my attention has shifted almost completely to this, anticipating the opportunities as our program evolves and improves, I’ve chosen to make Zen bets sporadically. And though the reason I did not make any bets last weekend was due to enjoying a visit with my brother Steve and my niece, (the first family I’ve actually seen since Ed’s passing, and Steve was who I met Ed through), I wanted to make you aware that this is sometimes why you will not see wagers posted for Zen. There’s plenty of opportunities awaiting us and once properly funded and at even we will all get to share in the profits. Well worth changing focus for 🙂

Business

Evening Everyone,

This Post is ALL about Business:

I’m including various reports that I’ll be discussing and the link to the recent Bill Benter video that I would like to ask you to once again view prior to reading through the business attachments because we’ll be discussing various similarities and reviewing the video will assist in putting things into perspective: 

Watch The Billion Dollar Gambler Whose Algorithm Conquered Horse Racing – Bloomberg

The first similarity is the approach to our venture as a Business, one built from ground up and could not have been accomplished without someone like Ed’s or Benter’s understanding of statistics and how they can be applied to consistently win betting on the horses. Followed by a vision, a maintained daily current clean database, access to specialized software developers who would patiently wait to be paid (purely because my business partner asked them to) though realistically in order to do so patience still requires sending regular money to keep things moving which often has come out of personal pocket, (Benter’s a programmer, Ed was not) a mathematician, and money! Lots of it. Raised through investments.

Benter’s insight came from betting cards, where Ed’s came from a life of tracking statistics, betting them and most important, accepting the things that he needed to change.  Without the willingness to change when the statistics noted to do so, Ed would not have reached the point where he consistently won.

The Benter video states that he lost $150,000 their first year because the tweaking can only be done by analysis of bets and he came to the understanding that in order to beat the “Take” which is the race tracks percentages of all money bet that Benter’s team had to profit on average 20% of their overall bets and this became Benter’s goal in Year 2.

When I heard this, I filled up with excitement because from keeping records I already knew we were profiting on average 20% from our overall bets! And not only have we reached this milestone, I am able to show you how I know that we already have by showing the attached Zen’s Win-Loss Report for the Zen Racing bets made from December 2021 when both Benter’s and Ed’s algorithms were integrated in once we received additional investments of $75K in November that I personally guaranteed to double back so we could get the program ready to use and then bet. Though starting with a much less betting balance than the 200K eventually needed once I was comfortable with using the program where we consistently would win, the $40,000 betting bank roll not only got us to this point, the winnings afforded us some money to pay towards the ever growing monthly operating costs and told me that now we’re ready to roll and we’ve arrived to the point where Zen Racing should be properly funded so I’ve opened the only 4 and 1/2 remaining shares to investors at the buy of $100K per share, non negotiable.

I add the non negotiable because not every potential investor fits into our mold and often times when people have money they believe they have more to offer than what they’re investing in which in our case Is Not at all the case.  We’ve built something that already has received several offers of purchase for quite a lot of money and there is absolutely no way Zen will ever sell or give access to our betting program to any one investor and since we’ve reached the point where I understand and know how to bet with what we have and consistently win.  In other words, once a potential investors reads through what we have and sees how I know that we’re on the cusp of success, they have this one last opportunity to opt in because once filled no additional shares will ever be offered. Though things take time to unfold, as with any ground up project, one of the things I maintain the most patience in is for investments because the success we reap IS for Everyone who is and has been part of what we’ve put together from the start and Not for any One person who thinks they should have access for personal benefit.

I see things like this; Everyone who invested early, getting in on the ground floor for $6K per share in order for our venture to take off, then discovering later was way lower than what we actually needed but got things in motion which was perfect 🙂 could very possibly end up feeling that this is the best investment they ever made because we began winning on average a 20% return on our investment and didn’t have to wait until year 2.

The 4 and 1/2 shares will fund Zen’s $200K betting bank, pay the developers up to even, a present balance of $247K as shown here in Zen’s Operating Costs – Betting Pool sheet and get us on track to cover the Zen’s monthly overhead through our bets. Since we will immediately profit upon receipt of this investment, we’ll begin paying dividends and because we’ve arrived at the point that I’ve been waiting for, where I can confidently bet, I’m ready to get the word out about these 4 and 1/2 remaining shares so I’d like to say that it’s OK with me for you to let anyone you know that may have interest about them and you’re welcome to show them the Zen Win/Loss and Operating Costs sheets that are also included in the email sent notifying you of this post.

In closing I have to share another milestone that we reached on Sunday 2/6 when I made our very first $1,000 win/place bet at Gulfstream in Race 10:

Click on Photo to enlarge

I think we changed the odds when we made this bet cause I was so nervous with this being the very first $1,000 bet I ever made. I was thinking about the bet all night, hoping they wouldn’t scratch and going over it again and again in my mind, the jockey/trainer was 5 wins for 5, the first after a layoff was a 4 + 30 which was so powerful because this stat is specific to this track at this class level, at this distance and on today’s surface and the clincher for me was the Trainer was also the owner so I made the bet really early, way before the races even began.

How I wished Ed were here cause this would have been a no issue for him as he was the Win bettor in our family. I don’t get nervous when going after exotics because I know when I’m making one it’s usually big odds and I’m covering the bet in all slots. Win betting is so cut and dry which is why I have to do win/place. And in order to make a bet of this size I had to believe that this horse was going to absolutely win and if we experienced a little bad luck that this horse would absolutely come in second so this required each bet to be equal amounts. In addition if all went south I also knew that we had to be positioned to accept the loss.

The result, the horse placed and we lost $600 on the win/place bet but I also bet us $20 Exacta wheel and we hit that. Though at this point in time a $1,000 win/place will be rare but the great news is that the decision to make the bet was correct and I knew that given the same stats on another day that I’d absolutely make this bet again, only I’d wait till a few minutes to post 🙂

Non-Disclosure

Non-Disclosure Agreement

This Non-disclosure Agreement (this “Agreement” is effective as of May 08, 2020 the “Effective Date”), by and between Zen Racing Stats LLC (the “Owner”), of 8465 W Sahara Ave Suite 111-515, Las Vegas, Nevada 89117, and all LLC Members (the “Recipient”) where

Zen Racing Stats LLC will be sharing proprietary information with all its members, investors, and silent partners and as long as they own stock in and/or work for Owner in any capacity is prohibited from sharing, giving away, selling, showing or collaborating with to any person and/or entity outside Zen Racing Stats LLC company indefinitely.

The Owner has requested and the Recipient agrees that the Recipient will protect the confidential material and information which may be disclosed between the Owner and the Recipient. Therefore, the parties agree as follows:

I. CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The term “Confidential Information” means any information or material which is proprietary to the Owner, whether or not owned or developed by the Owner, which is not generally known other than by the Owner, and which the Recipient may obtain through any direct or indirect contact with the Owner Regardless of whether specifically identified as confidential or proprietary. Confidential Information shall include any information provided by the Owner concerning the business, technology and information of the Owner deals, including, without limitation, business records and plans, trade secrets, technical data, product ideas, contracts, financial information, pricing structure, discounts, computer programs and listings, source code and/or object code, copyrights and intellectual property, inventions, sales leads, strategic alliances, partners, and customer and client lists. The nature of the information and the manner of disclosure are such that a reasonable person would understand it to be confidential.

A. “Confidential Information” does not include:

– matters of public knowledge that result from disclosure by the Owner;

– information rightfully received by the Recipient from a third party without a duty of confidentiality;

– information independently developed by the Recipient;

– information disclosed by operation of law;

– information disclosed by the Recipient with the prior written consent of the Owner;

– information disclosed by the Recipient with the prior written consent of the Owner; and any other information that both parties agree in writing is not confidential

II. PROTECTION OF CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The Recipient understands and acknowledges that the Confidential Information has been developed or obtained by the Owner by the investment of significant time, effort and expense, and that the Confidential Information is a valuable, special and unique asset of the Owner which provides the Owner with a significant competitive advantage, and needs to be protected from improper disclosure. In consideration for the receipt by the Recipient of the Confidential Information, the Recipient agrees as follows:

A. No Disclosure. The Recipient will hold the Confidential Information in confidence and will not disclose the Confidential Information to any person or entity without the prior written consent of the Owner.

B. No Copying/Modifying. The Recipient will not copy or modify any Confidential Information without the prior written consent of the Owner.

C. Unauthorized Use. The Recipient shall promptly advise the Owner if the Recipient becomes aware of any possible unauthorized disclosure or use of the Confidential Information.

D. Application to Employees. The Recipient shall not disclose any Confidential Information to any employees of the Recipient, except those employees who are required to have the Confidential Information in order to perform their job duties in connection with the limited purposes of this Agreement. Each permitted employee to whom Confidential Information is disclosed shall sign a non-disclosure agreement substantially the same as this Agreement at the request of the Owner.

III. UNAUTHORIZED DISCLOSURE OF INFORMATION – INJUNCTION. If it appears that the Recipient has disclosed (or has threatened to disclose) Confidential Information in violation of this Agreement, the Owner shall be entitled to an injunction to restrain the Recipient from disclosing the Confidential Information in whole or in part. The Owner shall not be prohibited by this provision from pursuing other remedies, including a claim for losses and damages.

IV. NON-CIRCUMVENTION. For a period of five (5) years after the end of the
term of this Agreement, the Recipient will not attempt to do business with, or otherwise solicit any business contacts found or otherwise referred by Owner to Recipient for the purpose of circumventing, the result of which shall be to prevent the Owner from realizing a profit, fees, or otherwise, without the specific written approval of the Owner. In such circumvention shall occur the Owner shall be entitled to any commissions due pursuant to this Agreement or relating to such transaction.

V. RETURN OF CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION: Upon the written request of the Owner, the Recipient shall return to the Owner all written materials containing the Confidential Information. The Recipient shall also deliver to the Owner written statements signed by the Receipt certifying that all materials have been returned within five (5) days of receipt of the request.

VI. RELATIONSHIP TO PARTIES. Neither party has an obligation under this Agreement to purchase any service or item from other party, or commercially offer any products using or incorporating the Confidential Information. This Agreement does not create any agency, partnership, or joint venture.

VII. NO WARRANTY. The Recipient acknowledges and agrees that the Confidential Information is provided on an “AS IS” basis. THE OWNER MAKES NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, WITH RESPECT TO THE CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION AND HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE OWNER BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES IN CONNECTION WITH OR ARISING OUT OF THE PERFORMANCE OR USE OF ANY PORTION OF THE CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The Owner does not represent or warrant that any product or business plans disclosed to the Recipient will be marketed or carried out as disclosed, or at all. Any actions taken by the Recipient in response to the disclosure of the Confidential Information shall be solely at the risk of the Recipient.

VIII. LIMITED LICENSE TO USE. The Recipient shall not acquire any intellectual property rights under this Agreement except the limited right to use as set forth above. The Recipient acknowledges that, as between the Owner and the Recipient, the Confidential Information and all related copyrights and other intellectual property rights, are (and at times will be) the property of the Owner, even if suggestions, comments, and/or ideas made by the Recipient are incorporated into the Confidential Information or related materials during the period of the Agreement.

IX. INDEMNITY. Each party agrees to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless the other party and its officers, directors, agents, affiliates, distributors, representatives, and employees from any and all third party claims, demands, liabilities, costs and expense, including reasonable attorney’s fees, cost and expenses resulting from the indemnifying party’s material breach of any duty. representation, or warranty under this Agreement.

X. ATTORNEY’S FEES. In any legal action between the parties concerning this Agreement, the prevailing party shall be entitled to recover reasonable attorney’s fees and costs.

XI. TERM. The obligations of this Agreement shall survive Indefinitely from the Effective Date or until the Owner sends the Recipient written notice releasing the Recipient from this Agreement. After that, the Recipient must continue to protect the Confidential Information that was received during the term of this Agreement from unauthorized use or disclosure indefinitely.

XII. GENERAL PROVISIONS. This Agreement sets forth the entire understanding of the parties regarding confidentiality. Any amendments must be in writing and signed by both parties. This Agreement shall be construed under the laws of the State of Nevada. This Agreement shall not be assignable by either party. Neither party may delegate its duties under this Agreement without the prior written consent of the other party. The confidentiality provisions of this Agreement shall remain in full force and effect at all times in accordance with the term of this Agreement. If any provision of this Agreement is held to be invalid, illegal or unenforceable, the remaining portions of this Agreement shall remain in full force and effect and construed so as to best effectuate the original intent and purpose of this Agreement.

XIII. WHISTLEBLOWER PROTECTION. This Agreement is in compliance with the Defend Trade Secrets Act and provides civil or criminal immunity to any individual for the disclosure of trade secrets; (1) made in confidence to a federal, state, or local government official, or to an attorney when the disclosure is to report suspected violations of the law; or (11) in a complaint or other document filed in a lawsuit if made under seal.

XIV. SIGNATORIES. This Agreement shall be executed by Susan L. Sweeney Bain, Owner, on behalf of Zen Racing Stats LLC and Recipient and delivered in the manner prescribed by law as of the date first written above.