Living and working along side Ed for about 30 years, setting up spreadsheets so he could record and decipher bets, gave me a front row seat towards what he used to determine what were potentials and what were not.
Ed began by manually identifying all runners who had a 4 + 30 trainer stat (4 wins or more plus a 30% win rate or higher) in every race. In order to decide which ones he’d consider a bet, he applied a set of filters developed through his record keeping which gave him an understanding of factors that were negative. Then the bets that remained were the ones he planned to bet, fully aware that come race day even some of these he’d toss. Witnessing his approach first hand has assisted me in the decisions I am making for our bets.
We placed wagers on 11 out of the last 14 days. Mimicking Ed’s approach we showed a profit for 7 days, had 2 days where we broke even and 2 days we had a loss.
The first loss incurred on the 6th day we made wagers and the one thing I can say that I was aware of was, I was not as enthused about the programs selections on this day. Even so in order to know what adjustments to make I followed the same regiment and bet the standouts accordingly. Because of this loss and the impression I had of the selections on this day when Friday 12/10s PB report lacked the same luster, I decided to pass almost all the potential wagers with the exception of two, one we hit and the other we did not which gave us our second break even day verses what would have been a loss had I chose to bet the ones that lacked the luster.
The second losing day of course was Sunday, the day that I shared the program selections. Yet this day, like the days we showed a profit, I was enthusiastic about our bets. As of this writing I have not had the chance to delve into the records to evaluate however we did publish the report for the bets made from 12/8 through yesterday 12/12 which includes the two days we had a loss. These and the overall results of All the potential bets (whether we bet these or not) can be viewed regularly by clicking the Results-All link in the above navigation bar.