Month: October 2021

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It’s a Process

For every action there is a reaction and as expected when we went live, (the action) there would be some necessary tweaking (the reaction).

The first one I noticed was there were way too many potential bets making it to the potential bet list and this proposed an immediate challenge by having a great deal of races to cull through and became quite noticeable last Saturday and Sunday when these were the first two days that I bet for us that produced a loss. (Click on the Wagering Reports link in the header bar to view).

Thankfully I lived with, in my opinion, one of the best horseplayers to ever exist, who understood the value of keeping records because it’s through these records that he was able to make his adjustments and the same applies to our program although once identified I must rely on the developers and money to input these changes and when we identify something that needs to adjust, this fits us into their schedule.

Keeping records on so many tracks can be taxing, even with a program that tally’s each day’s results because in order to know precisely what requires tweaking, I must transpose the results data to spreadsheets which at present doesn’t contain all the fields that will aid in making a decision so for now I must add this data manually.

Everything will eventually be included but building a program of this magnitude is a process and since we’re traveling to a frontier that hasn’t been traveled before, we can only make these adjustments as we move along.

Now that we’ve arrived I feel it is the time for me to share something personal about myself that some investors may not know because we’ve only recently been acquainted. We’re getting ready to take off, literally fly, and I made it here while dealing with sometimes rather debilitating health issues for quite a long time.

Diagnosed in 2011 with undifferentiated connective tissue disease which in layman terms means I unfortunately have multiple auto-immunes of which includes lupus, RA, sojourn, and scleroderma (the ones that have been identified) though I’ve been fighting these since 1998. I’ve chosen to deal with this and all my other illnesses (of which there are more diagnosed at the Mayo Clinic around the same year) holistically and honestly believe that the reason I am still here, standing and functioning is because of this choice. However, this does not mean that I don’t face a daily challenge and mine is to keep going no matter what card I’m dealt. I share this with you today because I would like you to know why there are times when it takes me a little while before I post updates.

I am euphoric that we’re here! This energy alone supplies me with much though even as good as it is that we reached this milestone, there are still some tweaks that need to be worked through and/or things that require adjustments so even though we’re betting there are days that I am not. When the right thing to do is pull back.

You’ll see from the betting reports posted for 10/7 through 10/10 that even though we’re still profitable because we continued to profit last Thursday and Friday, we lost Saturday and Sunday. So when this happened I made the decision to pull back in order to delve into the records to know where to adjust the program. These adjustments can take some time, (a week or two as opposed to months) and money and since my whole goal is and always will be is for us to make money using the program that we built, when something that needs an adjustment, even if this takes a little time to adjust, it’s absolutely necessary to wait making sizeable wagers. The tweaking and adjusting is expected and doesn’t prevent us from moving forward.

I also shared about my health because when things are moving, I move along with it, sometimes push and the push can be hard in order to make it happen and as a result I’m sometimes faced with having to recoup which happened the past two Monday’s and Tuesdays which puts me behind and is the reason I haven’t been able to supply updates.

Currently I am in the process of training my two very capable assistants, which takes time as most things we need to accomplish has to become realized as we continue forward. The primary goal is for Jon, my personal assistant to keep you informed and to also prepare every report I need each day in order to make our bets and this also takes time. Jon is ready, willing and able to do everything and anything to assist us yet he has to wait until I can let him know what he can assist me with which is the message I wish to relay today.

In closing I tried to have all the PB Reports for last week published with the results for everyone to view. This also requires manual input and now that the weekend’s arrived I plan to look through the program and make us some bets so these reports will be posted next week. Though these actually change during the day due to race day changes on track condition surface, jockey switches and scratches, a good portion of the days potential wagers remain. We’re currently working on 10/7 through 10/9. 10/10 is ready and can be viewed at the header link titled Results All. This date is there because I was able to record the results from the program before the update not realizing that I removed the previous dates when updating :0 which is par for something new. LOL Now that I understand that the updates wipe out the previous days results I’m regularly recording these each morning though they still require clean up in order for the results to show on one sheet and this is also a task that I’ll be relying on Jon to do.

BTW Jon is one of the best handicappers that Ed and I have ever had the pleasure to know. His betting decisions parallel Ed and Ed and Jon never physically met! So his being my assistant is such a welcome and a great happening for us all.

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Switching Gears and Getting into Zen Mode

Everything’s changed now that the betting program is ready and we embark on the reason we put this venture together which is for me to make our wagers and to make all of us money.

Because of this and some anticipated necessary tweaking that is expected when something is new and unlike anything done before, I’m currently unable to determine what we are going to publish on our site in the way of reports. I expect to be able to make this decision within the next few weeks after I’ve had the time to use what we built.

Developing the program has also given birth to some new tasks; some essential to be performed by me as they maintain current information throughout the day and others that I’ll be able to hand over to my assistants though this involves some training. In light of this I initially plan to make our bets Thursday through Sunday and work with my assistants regarding these tasks at the beginning of each week.

The ultimate goal is to free me up from all tasks not pertaining to betting so I can “Get into Zen Mode” and truly be all I can be, for us.

As handicappers one of the things we share is an understanding of mindset in order to make sound decisions. One that is completely free of any outside influence so you can truly concentrate on the task at hand.

Ed and I had an unspoken understanding that included complete seclusion from one another when viewing PPs and concentrating on his stats all the way through to attending the races either at an OTB or the racetrack, where we rarely spoke.

Ed used to say that the only person who could ever influence his bets is me and for me it was him because of our mutual respect however influence is Not always good. He saw things that I didn’t and I saw things that he didn’t and sometimes the conversion of such can derail a good plan. So over time we learned solitude, quiet, and keeping our opinions to ourselves, works best. It also helps towards keeping a positive approach no matter how many bets in a row you lose. Positive mindset is crucial to making a living in this sport.

Everything Ed did was well thought out. There were countless times after years passed when I noticed what he envisioned, something he knew would be better done a certain way, a way that would never have entered my mind, and lo and behold it was and usually a great deal better which only increased my respect. So when I asked Ed what he would like to call our venture he immediately replied “Zen Racing Stats” which took me by surprise because I naturally expected he’d include his name somewhere in this. So instead of asking him how he came up with this name, I gave this some thought first and then I knew. It wasn’t just for the significance the Zen mode represents, it was for where the mindset had to be, in order for our venture to come about. Ed’s Zen worksheet says it all:

And would like to let you know that we’ve added a link to the navigation bar called Wagering Reports where you can view the wagers we’ve made. They would normally be posted the following day however since this is one of the tasks I plan to hand over to my assistant Aubri the bets that we make this Thursday through Sunday won’t be posted until next week. Though the bets we made our first official day Sunday, 10/3 are now listed there. We actually did better than I realized cause I counted the wagers made that were later cancelled. Same profit, just less invested.

Should we have an outstanding day I promise to let you know so you won’t have to wait till next week when the wagering reports will be posted. Looking forward to sharing some great days!

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Schedule

Now that we’re rolling……… :), there is much to set up so until all is ready I plan to work on everything to accomplish this Mon thru Thursday for the first few weeks and bet for us Friday through Sunday. After which I still plan to take off every Monday and Tuesday as my assistant And very good friend Jon so eloquently said “Nobody would worry about missing a Show bet at Fort Erie on a Monday!”

Also want to let you know that we’ll post all wagers that we’ve made on the link above called Wagering Reports.

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Let em Roll at the quarter pole is here!

We made it! And Ed’s smiling upon us because he and I know for certain that we could Not have accomplished this without YOU! Thank you from the bottom of our hearts.

Can’t help but to be emotional today. It’s been a long and sometimes winding journey which pretty much sums up Ed’s and my life together, full of excitement with very few moments that were ever mundane. Wouldn’t trade it for the world.

And since I have quite a task at hand getting ready for our first day, I’m going to be brief. The stats are In and they Are powerful though there are Way…….. Too…. Many to cull through which means that we’ll have to make some adjustments. Nothing that will delay our progress, just that the potential bet list should be something that we should be able to go to and comfortably bet after the days scratches and changes and right now the program is pulling up over 50.

The Potential Bet List should only be listing horses with a large advantage that is defined by the ratings over the next runner in each race. As we move along I plan to get into the details of all this, what the ratings mean and how the program comes up with the potential order of finish but for now the horses showing up in the list have about a 10 point rating advantage which isn’t enough because there are still a lot of runners within the top three that are winning verses listing the precise winner. This is OK for exotic wagering however since our wagers will be around 70 to 75% across the board which can be win place and show or just place and show or just show, deciding with each bet, this list should be a fairly quick go to each day that would afford me the time to delve into exotics.

To give you an idea of what to expect. I will cull through the races this evening and then tomorrow after scratches I will rerun the program so it recalculates the changes for todays conditions. As an example, each change can change the race dynamics so if today’s race was to be on the turf but it rained and the race was taken off the turf, the projected outcome would change so we’ve designed the program that I can keep up with each change. So I’m able to adjust, pass or play according to each days card. This is a great feature in many ways because it takes into account pedigree, age, race conditions, gender, jockey switches, surface conditions so say it rained at Gulfstream and they remained on the turf however the turf is no longer firm and is now listed as Good, pedigree matters so I am able to run the program to recalculate this which then helps me decide what to do.

The program will continue to evolve as right now it truly is in it’s infancy user friendly wise. The ultimate goal is to be able to make the across the board bet decisions within an hour each day and then I’ll spend additional hours looking through races for potential exotic bets. Though it’s important to note that I’ll require complete solitude in order for me to be the best I can be for us. I am grateful for my assistant Jon who in his own right is an excellent handicapper, one of the few people we had the pleasure to know that bet very similar to Ed so he has a great understanding of what is involved when making bets. So while I’m working at increasing our bank roll and soon our monthly income, Jon will be taking care of posting the wagers that I made the previous day which will include the results so there’s full disclosure.

After tomorrow, our official first day we’ll show you where you’ll be able to view everything and in a short time we’ll be making videos so you can see the rocket ship we all built.

Without further ado I have quite an evening ahead of me. Know I probably won’t sleep much tonight cause this is exciting and am so happy that we’re finally here, yet at present this is time consuming and in order for me to be at my best I’ll sign off here.

It’s time for us to enjoy the ride 🙂

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