Posted on by Susan

Experiment on Today’s PBs

Morning,

Test betting encompasses trial and error so we will reach the point where we’re focusing on not only the selections but also the way to bet them. And since 75% of our wagers will be win, place, and/or show I have to make a determination of how to bet these after reviewing the stats. And at this stage of our version 1, viewing pps is essential since we don’t yet have pedigree algorithms or individual horses race records.

As you know I am not currently basing all our bets from the potential bet list (which you’ll see where I am culling through next week when I make several videos) to decipher all the plays and what I did for today was cull the same way and then looked through Sunday’s PB list to see how many of the bets that I found as potential matched the ones on our list and I found 7 though not all of these are potential win bets. Then I also found 4 races on our list that have different horses that caught my attention more than the one listed on Sunday’s PB list.

For today only because I require solitude to have complete focus on the task at hand, below I’m going to type a list of what I may potentially bet from our list and the way I plan to bet them and then a list of races that are on our list however another runner caught my attention in that race and will list the horse that did and the way I may potentially bet these.

Can’t get into a discussion today for the same reasons however we will get into an in depth discussion about all this in the coming weeks.

One more note regarding our bets. It does not mean that if I select another horse in a race from our list that the horse I select will cash as opposed to the horse on the PB list, or visa versa. It’s a decision made from statistics. Ed used to say this about his 4 + 30 stat, which meant the trainer had at least 4 wins and a 30% win rate, that you’ll still lose 70% of the wagers you bet. In other words out of 100 bets, 30 on average will win and 70 will lose.

What we’re doing here is not just betting to win and not accepting low percentages. We’re relying on the stat to tell us the race to pay attention to which in the end it’s saying statistically in this race today this runner has more of a chance at hitting than the rest of the runners in the same race. And once all the algorithms are in place, the program will be doing all this for us and in most cases if they make it to the list, the majority we will bet because they will hit and then it will be up to me to decide if we bet the runner to win, or to place or to show, or any combination.

All of this will make a lot more sense once you see the videos.

First list is the ones on Sunday’s PB list that I will probably bet and how I am going to bet them:

AQU RACE 6 #5 TO SHOW
FG RACE 3 #4 TO WIN AND PLACE
GP RACE 9 #1 TO WIN
GP RACE 12 #6 TO WIN AND PLACE
OP RACE 10 #6 TO PLACE AND SHOW
TAM RACE 1 #4 TO SHOW
TAM RACE 4 #2 TO PLACE
——–
Next list is the races that showed up on our PB list however another runner’s statistics got my attention and this lists that runners betting number and how I plan to bet them.

FG RACE 2 #6 TO PLACE AND SHOW
SA RACE 4 #2 TO SHOW
TAM RACE 2 #6 TO WIN AND SHOW
TAM RACE 6 #5 TO WIN AND SHOW

This is encouraging that 11 races on our list are on my PB list too.

OK, lets see how we do today. Good luck everyone. Let em roll 🙂

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