Good evening everyone,
As mentioned in a previous post in order to release Version 1 to advance us to a point where we would be able to begin test bets I was faced with making some difficult decisions as to what necessarily had to be included in this first release. And one of these decisions meant accepting the interface in its’ current state. What this relates to in actual time spent establishing the days plays is when we have everything in place and our betting program reaches it’s completed state that I should be able to make all our potential betting decisions in about an hour, the day that we would be making bets. However in the current Version 1 format, depending on the amount of potential bets displayed, the decision as to what we may potentially bet can take anywhere from 4 to 6 hours to cull through, deciding which races offer the best possibilities.
You’ll note that the list of potential bets in the summary is from the algorithms already implemented however there are many yet to integrate and the racing class that suffers the most when the hierarchy rating that is assigned is the Maidens; both Special Weight and Maiden Claiming. The reason is there is no history so all figures are based off of the fine tuned overall stats of Track-Class-Distance-Surface and Field Size and because of this the statistics in the present form can only display information that is integrated. Missing from the Maidens is pedigree, workouts, equipment and medication changes, race history and much more. However, the tool does display statistics for all the runners and there are times when the horse displayed in the potential betting list do Not make it to an actual bet, BUT there may be another horse in the same race that statistically shows a better reason to make a bet. There are times when I will make a decision Not to bet the programs choice and bet another because statistics show this as a better match particularly in this early stage.
What won’t change is telling everyone our actual bets. To make this work, by betting odds to percentages and other variables that impact a bet is I will Not be making a list for everyone to see of what we will bet. There are too many reasons up to post time that play a role in whether or not a bet will be placed or passed. Some of these choices won’t be made until actual post time. What Will happen is we Will post all the potential bets for the following day first, then a post of what Susan has filtered to the best potentials and then the day after each race day a post of everything we actually bet. This is the key to our success since nothing but Zen Racing Stats bets are recorded so then the following day we’ll be able to post what we actually bet as well as the results of these wagers placed.
It would be negligence on my part to post all the potential bets our program pulls up knowing the algorithms not yet integrated in our program which is one of the reasons we are making test bets.
Today we’re posting what we will potentially bet tomorrow and on Monday we will post the results of the bets that we actually made. So it’s here! The day we’ve been waiting for has arrived; Let em roll at the quarter pole day happen to fall on Valentines day 2/14/2021 .
The first screen shot is of all tomorrow’s potential bets for Sunday 2/14 and the second is what I determined potentially betable after culling through the list.
Though I will always determine which ones we actually do bet, during this initial stage we will not be betting all the races on this list. Later once things are refined, refined, refined, then adjusted, adjusted, adjusted, this will change and it is likely we will bet most if not all.
In closing don’t want to forget to let you know that Cox Internet which is our local cable provider is upgrading their internet service and they sent three notices that our internet service Will be interrupted next week and this could happen intermittently from Thursday 2/18 through Monday 2/22. So just in case this interruption happens and I am unable to communicate during this time you’ll know why.
OK, soooo tomorrow 2/14/21 is our Official start date and The Day we Will be letting em roll at the quarter pole thanks to my love; the driving force of our venture, Ed Bain.
P.S. Thought this would be a good place to mention that even though we pass a race, this does not mean that horse won’t win. Just as if we bet a horse to place, that also does not mean that the horse won’t win. Or that what I select for us to bet that the horse I select will win. We have a strategy and a plan to make money on our bets which again can be acquainted to stock investments. You could always have sold the stock for a higher price if you waited or purchased for a lessor price given the same patience however no one in any scenario can always be dead on. What you can do is set into motion a consistent strategy. By setting a routine of precedence at the direction of the statistics we can profit in the long term. In our case where we’ll be adding algorithms as we move through this journey, the eventual outcome will be turning a profit on most of the programs list of potential bets. Then our attention will turn to how much we should bet on each race for the best possible return on our investment.
Good Morning and Happy Valentines Day which I’m officially changing to Let em Roll at the Quarter Pole day from this day forward.
Wanted to touch base briefly before we started to clarify some things that has come to light with the main one being is it OK for You as part of this venture to be able to make your own bets too on these potential selections and the answer to this is absolutely. Though I can not be involved with saying how you should bet them. What I mean by this is a lot of these selections may Not be win bets. I may bet them for us to Place or to Show or to W/P and so on and then when it comes to race time, depending on odds to percentages it’s a good chance that I may pass any of these. And in order to be all the best I can be for our venture I need complete solitude and freedom to bet the way I perceive best and this can not be accomplished with having to be in touch about our bets before, during or after each betting day.
The reason for the non-disclosure is so no partner will show, share, give away or sell any of this information, including the proprietary algorithms however this does not mean that You can not also make your own bets.
After today, when things will make a lot more sense after seeing the potential plays and the results I plan on writing in depth about all this and we’ll use the time during the week when there are not so many bets to look through to fill everyone in as we move forward in this exciting venture.
Wish all of us Good Luck today. I’m certain Ed is with us.
This is exciting!! Good luck 👍