Now that we’ve reached this point in our endeavor we can expect a continuance of starts and stops in order to refine the program outputs. Not that we’ll notice much interruption, probably only an occasional delay in posting the daily potential bets, however, these steps are necessary. They will be tweaking and validating by viewing the previous days results as well as from the feedback I give them on our test bets towards improving accuracy and having a finished product that we can confidently wager from.
I’m including a video of our program and the previous days results for what our program calls the “Standouts” that we publish under our Potential Bets – all list. Since there is no sound, note that the top part of the program lists 12 potential bets on the list and as you’ll see from this screen shot that below is the list of how the program projected the horses would run each race and to the left the word Pos stands for finishing position. Right now we’re averaging 50% wins from the top 3 program selections for all races and in order to show you this, I will uncheck the Standouts link so you’ll see each race at all racetracks running yesterday. And when I tallied yesterday’s results there were 119 total races where only 48 did not have the winner selected in the top three which means 60% of the races had the winner selected in the top 3.
In a sense I am sort of opening up a can of worms by sharing this because there is so much more to share that I will cover later, like why there may be more runners listed on this list than we posted however since it’s important to me that you follow along with our progress I want to show this to you now. Only ask everyone to hold back any questions until I’ve had the chance to fully update.
In addition, the mathematician, Nick, who I am happy to say is now one of us (a shareholder) and our head developer (who is my partner in equi-stats and also a shareholder) are tweaking and validating, and tweaking and validating the integration of Ed’s algorithms towards additional accuracy. When this reaches their pinnacle, they will go to work on integrating the mathematicians first group of validations and at yesterday’s meeting was informed should be in place in two weeks. From here we’ll notice a big, big change in the numbers, rating wise and accuracy though this integration will also require necessary tweaking and validating.
Not all algorithms will debut in this version. To explain what this actually means is we could only estimate the process of the massive undertaking we chose to initiate, the size of the database, and all it’s components as well as all the data points we’re asking to include and these can only be validated as the clean data is made ready. So what they have chosen to do is tackle the essential base first which is Ed’s brain and the 4 race form cycle that is track specific, class specific, distance specific and surface specific. The results of 50% winners from the top three selections is better than anyone projected and this was right out of the gate, prior to any tweaking.
Though I can confidently bet with what is already in place, it still requires a lot of looking through things on my end, meaning hours of handicapping, and until the mathematicians algorithms are in, I’m finding the bulk of our wagers from the full race card list as opposed to from the Potential Bet All list though those are also hitting at a 50% win rate from the top three and one of the main reasons I’m fully aware that at this point can not be too much higher is because we are awaiting surface and surface condition to be applied. Horses do not run the same on a muddy track verses fast and the same applies to a good turf verses firm however these will be in over the next few weeks.
Going to stop here so I can post this update. At present I am not betting every day though I am when Del Mar is running because they offer Parlay bets through the Casino. This is something Ed wanted most of all and we didn’t know if this would be possible. Another topic that I plan to delve into a little later however for now this is the only track I can place these wagers on. Since I’m wearing a lot of hats right now and the development of our program is essential to our progression I’m going to resume these updates early next week.
Also on board is my new assistant who possess presentation skills like no other so you’ll get to see a lot of good over the next few weeks as we let em roll………….