Posted on by Susan

Proof of Concept Part 2

HUGE PROGRESS WITH RELEASE OF VERSION 2

Click on Image to Enlarge
For a copy of Version 2 Standouts Results 6/20/22 to 12/31/22 report> Click Here

————————————————————————————————-

Click on Image to Enlarge
For a copy of Version 2 All Races Results 7/03/22 to 12/31/22> Click Here

————————————————————————————————-

Get ready to have your mind blown
In Part one of Proof of Concept we wrote about the positive results from the Standouts:

Since 6/20/22 and through 12/31/22 there were 8,089 Standouts, 2,710 of these won for an on average 33.50% win rate, 1,902 placed for a 23.51% place rate and 1,172 showed for a 14.48% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 71.50%.

Of these 8,089 races 15 did not offer place bets and 218 did not offer show bets. If we bet $2 across on all we would have wagered $48,038 and received $48,584.18 for an overall flat bet profit of $546.18. Had we bet $20 across on all we would have a flat bet profit of $5,461.80 or $200 across on all we would have a flat bet profit of $54,618.00.

This profit is without eliminating a single wager for odds and flat betting each of these across and before adding Zen wagers on average 5% cash reward. Presenting the information this way first as it shows that once we released Version 2 we’ve reached a milestone that without adding in anything else our module is proof of success, it works and we are only 30% complete.
—————————————————————————

The Reason Our Program is a Huge Success with the release of Version 2 is the algorithms now in place in our module Correctly Separates out the Standouts and takes us to Profit by separating and selecting 8,089 races that have a 13 point advantage from the next runner in that same race and doing so from 18,852 available, essentially eliminating 10,763 races takes us not only from 59.44% in the money hit rate to 71.50% if we flat bet all Standouts without eliminating one wager we’d go from a loss of $19,713.58 to a profit of $546.18 for $2 across the board wagers (win-place-show) even before adding in cash rewards and we’re only 30% done, only 30% of where we’re going to be and with proper bet sizing we can make the $30K to run an equity crowd funding campaign and finish what we began; getting our module to producing an on average between 65 and 75% winners, not in the money and then this boils down to bet sizing and how much profit we want to make!

Here’s why. Since 7/3/22, 13 days after we released Version 2 and began tracking Standouts which began 6/20/22 there were a total of 18,852 races and our program selects runners to finish in a particular order by the algorithms we already have in place and of these 18,852 races 6 did not offer any bets even on win, 101 did not offer bets on place and 795 did not offer bets on show. Had we bet $2 across on all WPS offered on these 18,852 we would have wagered total of $111,082.00 and got back $91,368.42 for a total loss of $19,713.58. 4,440 won for a 25.30% win rate, 3,606 placed for a 19.13% place rate and 2,829 showed for a 15.0% show rate and an overall in the money hit rate of 59.44%.

Our program separated 8,089 races from these 18,852 because our algorithms assigned specified to do so and 2,710 of these won, increasing our win rate 8.2%, 1,902 placed for a 23.51% on average place rate increasing 4.38% place rate and 1,172 showed for a 14.48% show rate, essentially the same show rate percentage as all. So by separating the 8,089 Standouts we went from a $19,713.58 loss to a $546.18 profit even before receiving cash rewards on every $2 bet.

Bet $20 across and that profit increases to $5,461.80, or $200 across and the profit hits $54,681.00!
now
Add in the on average 5% cash rewards Zen receives on their WPS wagers and the numbers go off the scale:
$2 across becomes a profit of $2,948.08
$20 across becomes a profit of $29,480.80
$200 across becomes a profit of $294,808.00
and this is if we do not progress one step further!

Yet it would be a shame to get this far and stop because I am no longer at the helm when we have someone capable, as capable as Ed would be in making money on our bets through Jon Wright. And now that I’ve laid out this Proof of Concept all that an equity crowd funding campaign would require is financial statements showing our expenditures and asset of what we’ve invested to date along with a projection statement and estimate requires around $30K to cover for preparation, SEC filings, professional fees (accounting and legal) production videos to raise 5 million and 5 million would not only take Zen to 65 to 75% winners, this would also cover for integrating A I so we could robotically trade our investments.

I prepared the Proof of Concept for you to have ready whenever you (Zen shareholders) are ready to present to obtain equity capital to complete our venture. Though whenever you are ready to present an updated Proof of Concept should be done. Jon Wright maintains a running total of each so this can be done on his end.

Presenting what we have to you in its completed to date form now lets me step away meaning at present with how I’m feeling I very much wish to take the time I have left to spend with loved ones and resting because this is the best way I can show everyone involved in our venture what a big deal we have, what we’ve accomplished together and it gives me the chance to ask you from me, my heart and Ed’s, don’t let our dream fade. Don’t let all we’ve worked for together just go cause I am no longer here. We’ve set everything in place so there is no reason we can’t reach the end. Plus no one, not one person in our venture will lose anything, not even their initial investment because everyone is in my trust and the payout from the Camp Lejeune settlement, though most likely 3 years from now provides everyone their investment back. I ask, how many times have you invested in anything and at the very least got your initial investment back? I answer for everyone cause I know the answer is never. But this is the case here. I ask only that you don’t let our venture that we built together die.

Lastly, we need to fund Zen. Replenish our betting account and enough to cover our overhead, the absolute necessary things required to keep Zen moving forward. Even if you already own a share in equistats, consider buying in another share to keep us going. You’ll gain ownership also to a piece of our horse racing database the most crucial component to our existence. Once I’m no longer here there won’t be anyone to cover for this while waiting for funds to come in. Every penny we had, including betting pool, and every thing I had left went to get us here, in order to release version 2. Jon continues to bet for us (Zen) and is quite successful yet we have little funds for him to bet with.

In a recent post I offered a fair way of taking care of all this by investing in a share in equistats that equals an additional share in Zen and though stated that the investment towards this can happen throughout the year to give everyone the chance to use the program for awhile and make money we could use a portion of this now. We opened 7 shares in equistats for $7K per share equivalent to another share in Zen meaning when dividends are paid that this share would be added to any shares already owned. However we’re virtually near zero in our betting bank since covering for Zen’s bills since September. Have no doubt Jon could make all the money we need to get us to crowd funding if he had money to invest now. So this is also a last plea. Even if one share was funded, Zen could move mountains. My plea is, buy in a piece of a share now.

Commit by sending in something today and then take the rest of the year to pay the difference. These investments can be made at the following link: Buy a share in equistats

After sharing all the above my wish is that the light bulb went off. That by showing you these numbers that you too see not only what we accomplished and how substantial it is but also what is in store and how we’re on the cusp of success if we don’t stop things from moving. This is my wish. Keep going! Do what you can to make this happen. This means everything to Ed and to me and to all of us involved.

10 Replies to “Proof of Concept Part 2”

  2. Here are the stats I shared with Susan and Jon In January:

    What I have done is to separate the Standouts into four groups. Group A consists of Standouts whose trainer rating is between 95-99; in Group B the rating is 90-94; in Group C the rating is from 80-89; and in Group D the rating is below 80. Since Standouts are based on the Trainer rating being 10 points higher than the second highest rating in a given race, one could assume the results from the different groups would be equal. I thought otherwise and so conducted a 1500 race survey for both win and place results. They are as follows:
    Group A Win 34.6% with an Roi of 0.921
    Group B Win 36.3% with an Roi of 1.056
    Group C Win 32.3% with an Roi of 1.001
    Group D Win 32.1% with an Roi of 1.180
    For Place bets:
    Group A Place 57.7% with an Roi of 0.944
    Group B Place 57.7% with an Roi of 1.075
    Group C Place 61.1% with an Roi of 1.038
    Group D Place 55.4% with an Roi of 1.078.
    While there is not much differential in the percentages, Group A is consistently over bet, which makes sense because, overall, the trainers in Group A are better known to the general public. The Baffert’s, Pletcher’s, etc;, are always over bet as are the local leaders at any track while this makes sense, it indicates that profit margins rise significantly in Groups B-D. The only long term losses occur in Group A. Certainly, there are still overlays in Group A but not as frequently in the others. With the addition of filters, as Ed outlines in the profits should rise to decent levels.

  3. The Win totals from your Standout stats cost $16,178 and returned $16,174, basically a break even deal.

    ML horses at 5-2 and 3-1 from 6/20-9/30/2022 cost $2230 and returned $2250 so there is a definite trend here.

    The Win totals from your stats cost $16,178 and returned $16,174, basically a break even deal.

    Those runners whose ML was less than 2-1 cost $2,988 and returned $2,540 for a loss of $448 for an Roi of 0.85.

    Those runners at precisely 2-1 Ml fared better but still produced a loss. Cost $1674 returned $1537. Loss $137 and an Roi of 0.92.

    ML horses at 5-2 and 3-1 from 6/20-9/30/2022 cost $2230 and returned $2250 so there is a definite trend here.

    Without these wagers the total cost would be $11,516 with a return of $12,097 with a profit of $585 and an Roi of $1.056.

    Adding on the rewards at 5% would bring us over 10% profit on win alone. I realize that there’s a slight discrepancy of $4 somewhere but it’s not important, but the concept is.

    1. Tony,
      No, I do not limit my wagers to that. I prefer horses that go off at higher odds for the most part. There are still some decent overlays in the lowers odds ML horses but betting them just because they are standouts will produce a loss. The upshot here is that the program does a great job with higher ML odds horses. I found that from June to December if you played all horses to Win that were 6-1 and over there was a decent profit. Lower hit rate but logic dictates that if low ML horses are losing 15% and the program is breaking even, that the profits at higher odds must be
      carrying the day. The classification of trainers A-D also shows that big name trainers are consistently over bet. Winning 30% of races but returning 85 cents on the dollar doesn’t cut it!

        1. I checked all horses which were ML less than 2-1 and whose trainer was an A trainer (95-99 rating). The results were
          somewhat astounding in that these horses won 49.6% (548/1104)of their races, which indicates the program’s selection are great! However, the ROI was only $0.865 for every dollar invested.

        2. I checked all horses which were ML less than 2-1 and whose trainer was an A trainer (95-99 rating). The results were
          somewhat astounding in that these horses won 49.6% (548/1104)of their races, which indicates the program’s selection are great! However, the ROI was only $0.865 for every dollar invested.

Leave a Reply

Non-Disclosure

Non-Disclosure Agreement

This Non-disclosure Agreement (this “Agreement” is effective as of May 08, 2020 the “Effective Date”), by and between Zen Racing Stats LLC (the “Owner”), of 8465 W Sahara Ave Suite 111-515, Las Vegas, Nevada 89117, and all LLC Members (the “Recipient”) where

Zen Racing Stats LLC will be sharing proprietary information with all its members, investors, and silent partners and as long as they own stock in and/or work for Owner in any capacity is prohibited from sharing, giving away, selling, showing or collaborating with to any person and/or entity outside Zen Racing Stats LLC company indefinitely.

The Owner has requested and the Recipient agrees that the Recipient will protect the confidential material and information which may be disclosed between the Owner and the Recipient. Therefore, the parties agree as follows:

I. CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The term “Confidential Information” means any information or material which is proprietary to the Owner, whether or not owned or developed by the Owner, which is not generally known other than by the Owner, and which the Recipient may obtain through any direct or indirect contact with the Owner Regardless of whether specifically identified as confidential or proprietary. Confidential Information shall include any information provided by the Owner concerning the business, technology and information of the Owner deals, including, without limitation, business records and plans, trade secrets, technical data, product ideas, contracts, financial information, pricing structure, discounts, computer programs and listings, source code and/or object code, copyrights and intellectual property, inventions, sales leads, strategic alliances, partners, and customer and client lists. The nature of the information and the manner of disclosure are such that a reasonable person would understand it to be confidential.

A. “Confidential Information” does not include:

– matters of public knowledge that result from disclosure by the Owner;

– information rightfully received by the Recipient from a third party without a duty of confidentiality;

– information independently developed by the Recipient;

– information disclosed by operation of law;

– information disclosed by the Recipient with the prior written consent of the Owner;

– information disclosed by the Recipient with the prior written consent of the Owner; and any other information that both parties agree in writing is not confidential

II. PROTECTION OF CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The Recipient understands and acknowledges that the Confidential Information has been developed or obtained by the Owner by the investment of significant time, effort and expense, and that the Confidential Information is a valuable, special and unique asset of the Owner which provides the Owner with a significant competitive advantage, and needs to be protected from improper disclosure. In consideration for the receipt by the Recipient of the Confidential Information, the Recipient agrees as follows:

A. No Disclosure. The Recipient will hold the Confidential Information in confidence and will not disclose the Confidential Information to any person or entity without the prior written consent of the Owner.

B. No Copying/Modifying. The Recipient will not copy or modify any Confidential Information without the prior written consent of the Owner.

C. Unauthorized Use. The Recipient shall promptly advise the Owner if the Recipient becomes aware of any possible unauthorized disclosure or use of the Confidential Information.

D. Application to Employees. The Recipient shall not disclose any Confidential Information to any employees of the Recipient, except those employees who are required to have the Confidential Information in order to perform their job duties in connection with the limited purposes of this Agreement. Each permitted employee to whom Confidential Information is disclosed shall sign a non-disclosure agreement substantially the same as this Agreement at the request of the Owner.

III. UNAUTHORIZED DISCLOSURE OF INFORMATION – INJUNCTION. If it appears that the Recipient has disclosed (or has threatened to disclose) Confidential Information in violation of this Agreement, the Owner shall be entitled to an injunction to restrain the Recipient from disclosing the Confidential Information in whole or in part. The Owner shall not be prohibited by this provision from pursuing other remedies, including a claim for losses and damages.

IV. NON-CIRCUMVENTION. For a period of five (5) years after the end of the
term of this Agreement, the Recipient will not attempt to do business with, or otherwise solicit any business contacts found or otherwise referred by Owner to Recipient for the purpose of circumventing, the result of which shall be to prevent the Owner from realizing a profit, fees, or otherwise, without the specific written approval of the Owner. In such circumvention shall occur the Owner shall be entitled to any commissions due pursuant to this Agreement or relating to such transaction.

V. RETURN OF CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION: Upon the written request of the Owner, the Recipient shall return to the Owner all written materials containing the Confidential Information. The Recipient shall also deliver to the Owner written statements signed by the Receipt certifying that all materials have been returned within five (5) days of receipt of the request.

VI. RELATIONSHIP TO PARTIES. Neither party has an obligation under this Agreement to purchase any service or item from other party, or commercially offer any products using or incorporating the Confidential Information. This Agreement does not create any agency, partnership, or joint venture.

VII. NO WARRANTY. The Recipient acknowledges and agrees that the Confidential Information is provided on an “AS IS” basis. THE OWNER MAKES NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, WITH RESPECT TO THE CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION AND HEREBY EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE OWNER BE LIABLE FOR ANY DIRECT, INDIRECT, SPECIAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES IN CONNECTION WITH OR ARISING OUT OF THE PERFORMANCE OR USE OF ANY PORTION OF THE CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION. The Owner does not represent or warrant that any product or business plans disclosed to the Recipient will be marketed or carried out as disclosed, or at all. Any actions taken by the Recipient in response to the disclosure of the Confidential Information shall be solely at the risk of the Recipient.

VIII. LIMITED LICENSE TO USE. The Recipient shall not acquire any intellectual property rights under this Agreement except the limited right to use as set forth above. The Recipient acknowledges that, as between the Owner and the Recipient, the Confidential Information and all related copyrights and other intellectual property rights, are (and at times will be) the property of the Owner, even if suggestions, comments, and/or ideas made by the Recipient are incorporated into the Confidential Information or related materials during the period of the Agreement.

IX. INDEMNITY. Each party agrees to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless the other party and its officers, directors, agents, affiliates, distributors, representatives, and employees from any and all third party claims, demands, liabilities, costs and expense, including reasonable attorney’s fees, cost and expenses resulting from the indemnifying party’s material breach of any duty. representation, or warranty under this Agreement.

X. ATTORNEY’S FEES. In any legal action between the parties concerning this Agreement, the prevailing party shall be entitled to recover reasonable attorney’s fees and costs.

XI. TERM. The obligations of this Agreement shall survive Indefinitely from the Effective Date or until the Owner sends the Recipient written notice releasing the Recipient from this Agreement. After that, the Recipient must continue to protect the Confidential Information that was received during the term of this Agreement from unauthorized use or disclosure indefinitely.

XII. GENERAL PROVISIONS. This Agreement sets forth the entire understanding of the parties regarding confidentiality. Any amendments must be in writing and signed by both parties. This Agreement shall be construed under the laws of the State of Nevada. This Agreement shall not be assignable by either party. Neither party may delegate its duties under this Agreement without the prior written consent of the other party. The confidentiality provisions of this Agreement shall remain in full force and effect at all times in accordance with the term of this Agreement. If any provision of this Agreement is held to be invalid, illegal or unenforceable, the remaining portions of this Agreement shall remain in full force and effect and construed so as to best effectuate the original intent and purpose of this Agreement.

XIII. WHISTLEBLOWER PROTECTION. This Agreement is in compliance with the Defend Trade Secrets Act and provides civil or criminal immunity to any individual for the disclosure of trade secrets; (1) made in confidence to a federal, state, or local government official, or to an attorney when the disclosure is to report suspected violations of the law; or (11) in a complaint or other document filed in a lawsuit if made under seal.

XIV. SIGNATORIES. This Agreement shall be executed by Susan L. Sweeney Bain, Owner, on behalf of Zen Racing Stats LLC and Recipient and delivered in the manner prescribed by law as of the date first written above.