OK…. 🙂
We begin with a 15K betting pool which is what we currently have in hand. There are several other commitments that would bring us to $17,500 though best to wait to count this towards our pool balance once funds are in.
It’s time to get into the details; What we have. How we’ll invest, along with the basis surrounding these decisions as well as what to expect as we move along. Since there is much to share and I will be investing for us this week, I plan to write this in a series.
Beginning with what we have
Like all Apps our program evolves as we deploy versions. Where substantial improvements to the user interface and the percentages of winners and in the money increase with each release.
It is important to keep in mind that our program has been built for one person to use, cull through, set aside potentials, update throughout the day to include race day changes; scratches, jockey switches and surface conditions which almost always amends the Standout list. And because my decisions on what we may bet are decided the evening before, I pay close attention to these changes the day of before making any decision final. Yet it is imperative for me to keep tabs on these wagers prior to each race because the odds can still determine a pass which is why you will see money in the cancel credit column.
The program publishes a top selection for every race run from the algorithms in place, and these are in the money on average 60% of the time. Yet our module was specifically designed to notify us of races where one runner within each race has at least a 10 point advantage over the next runner in that race, or what we refer to as “Standouts” (used to refer to as the Potential Bets). It’s this list that has consistently produced winners on average between 30 and 40% and an in the money hit rate of 72.5%. And this is not only fantastic, it’s amazing and the reason why I know we can win. This also explains why this list can change after scratches because a horse that had an advantage may not have one anymore or a horse that did not have one, now does. Jockey Switches are another variable that’s at play as each trainer does have go-to jocks and this is a built in algorithm, even more refined that the Jockey-Trainer reports we used to produce so when I’m betting and working towards making us money I have to be on top of this pretty much all day.
The interface has Not been designed to print anything. We are able to export results, though currently only for the top selection and not for every runner in each race once the database has been updated and these reports are used to monitor how the module is performing so we know precisely what adjustments we need to make. Even though we are able to use the program now, because this is a work in progress it is not uncommon for something to not function properly every once in awhile, albeit nothing major. Occasionally we’ve had the same runner show up multiple times in the field in a race and noticed this occurred after running the days update. Its understood that making adjustments will continue until we reach our intended goal of producing 70 to 75% winners (not in the money). These reports provide data similar to the records Ed kept when he was manually compiling his statistics and tracking his bets. It is from these exported reports that we are able to publish the results from the Standouts each day on the website.
And we are able to export several full cards to a spreadsheet which again isn’t made ready for viewing so they require clean up which is a task performed by one of our assistants in order to share the full cards for tracks like Saratoga and Del Mar.
As previously mentioned in quite a few blog posts that in order for our venture to work only one person who is making our bets can have regular access to the daily list of Standouts for the sole purpose of making wagers for Zen. Giving access to all would defeat our intended purpose and the reason we built this which is for all Zen shareholders to profit and not one alone.
That said, something Ed and I discussed for when we reached this point of my betting for Zen, is we both would like to provide all shareholders with some gems which is the reason why we kept this export option in when we deployed Version 2. Beginning next week, after Del Mar closes we will post a full card each day for a full week and in order to please all palates we will alternate between the high profile tracks.
Soon we will have Jockey-Trainer reports for you, similar to the pdf I found for New York that Ed compiled from 2018 that we shared in a recent email. This does however require some manual compiling so this will also take a little bit of time though we are in the process of readying things for this now and after we finish setting things on the site in order for all to follow our progress we’ll resume.
I started to bet for us today. The winning formula requires 70 to 75% of our wagers be on Win, Place, and or Show and 20 to 25% on exotics. Currently the program’s top selection is in the money 72.5% of the time however the selections for the remainder of the field is very hit and miss. Because of this, it’s imperative to our bottom line that I limit the exotic wagers and have successfully done so on paper betting doubles and exactas though most time when doing so these bets include all. I’m attaching today’s bets here.
I’ve been working on this blog post between today’s wagers in order to share with you how I am going to bet and at the point of saving these wagers there were several that had yet to run. I also planned to watch the odds on one of these races because the morning line was low however missed doing so. Mentioning because under normal circumstances if bet too low I would pass. However up until this point we were fairly even for the day.
I do plan on looking at races every day. In order for me to be all I can be for all of us which means being able to monitor the races as they happen each day and also figure out the potentials the night before I basically have to become a hermit. And as a one man show, who is the only person at present that can access the casino’s betting site, I am also the one who downloads the spreadsheets of our wagers. And especially now as all this is new and I’m establishing a routine it would be challenging to have to post our wagering reports daily so during this “beginning phase” I will post our wagers made once a week or if able more often so everyone can follow our progress and watch our betting pool grow! 🙂
And we plan to share videos of what we have and between things I plan to continue to update everyone on the blog.
So……… all this is Great News! We made it. We’re Here! As of this week we’re officially in business. Now it’s up to me to make us some money and this is what I plan to do!
Let em roll at the quarter pole!
Thank You Partners. We couldn’t have gotten here without You.