I Bet Trainer Stats

I Bet Trainer Stats. Bet speed if you want. I’ll take trainers with a go to jockey.

Trainer Mark Casse and jockey Patrick Husbands at Woodbine in sprint races over the past four years went 520-238-46% in the exacta stats. About 130 sprint races per year.

April 21st was opening day at Woodbine and since there has been 22 racing days for trainer Mark Casse and jockey Patrick Husbands. 19 of these 22 days they teamed up in sprint races.

There are two ways to approach a big stat like this; bet them all or cherry pick.

I recorded how Casse and Husbands performed in sprint races in an excel spreadsheet and from opening day they’ve ran in a total of 40 sprint races

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The first six races up to column F are self explainable. The last seven is where I will center up on.

Starting with column G (Odds) which are the finishing odds.

(Exacta) this column will only show three things; if the horse won, placed or ran Out of the exacta

(Payouts) is for win or place payouts.

(Exacta payout) shows every exacta payout where Casse and Husbands were 1st or 2nd in the exacta.

(Other Exacta Horse) is the non Casse and Husbands horse that made it into the exacta and how they ended up in odds from 1st Favorite on up.

(Field Size) the number of runners in the race.

On opening day April 21 in race 8 Mark Casse and Patrick Cousins had Conquest Enforcer ready to run he ran Out of the exacta.

This is the chronological results from then to now.

Casse and Husbands have 2 runners the next day the 22nd . In race 4 Sanity won. Casse  and Husbands had their first sprint win and exacta of 2018 at Woodbine. Sanity paid $10.40 He was 4/1. The exacta paid $28.80. The Other Horse which is the other half of the exacta was the 1st Favorite at 9/5 in a 9 horse field.

In races 8 Blueblood placed and paid $2.60. His odds were 7/5. The exacta paid $20.20 and the Second Favorite came in at 3/1 in a 6 horse field.

Casse and Husbands had 3 sprinters entered on the 28th of March.

The 1st sprinter in race 5 Rosemere won and paid $4.40. He was the 6/5 Favorite. The Other horse was the 2nd Favorite at 5/2. The exacta paid $14.40 in a 9 horse field.

In race 6 Connection Ran Out of the exacta.

In Race 8 Let It Ride Mom Won and paid $9.30. The Exacta paid $30.70. The Other Horse for the exacta was the 1st favorite who was 7/5 in an 8 horse field.

March 29 Casse and Husbands have 4 runners. The first runner in race 2 places and pay’s $3.80. Amen Alley was 2/1. The Other Horse for the exacta was the 3rd Favorite at 3/1.The exacta paid $31.60 in a 6 horse field.

Race 7 # 6 Colonel Canuck Ran Out of the exacta.

Race 10 # 4 Picasso Moon Ran Out.

Race 11 # Show Girl Ran Out.

May 4th Race 6 # 2 One Moment Ran Out.

May 5th Race 3 # 6 Kingsport Ran Out of the exacta.

For Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands in sprint races they went to post 12 times since opening day, were in the exacta 5 times for a 42% exacta strike rate. In the first 6 days at Woodbine Casse and Husbands were in the exacta 5 days. All of their Exacta payouts involved the 1st,2nd or 3rd Favorite.

May 6th Casse and Husbands had two runners; race 2 Get the News Placed at 6/5 and paid $2.90 and the exacta paid $31.80. The 2nd Favorite filled the exacta at 9/2 in a 7 horse field. 12 horses went to post in race 5 Southern Greatness Won and paid $ 3.50. The exacta paid $ 7.90. The 2nd Favorite was The Other Horse at 5/2.

May 11th race 6 Souper Shenanigan ran Out of the exacta.

May 12 race 8 Closer Still Won at 8/5 and paid $5.40. The exacta paid $71.20. The 5th Favorite came in at 11/1 in a 7 horse field.

May 13 three more sprinters for Casse and Husbands; race 4 Royal Creed Won paying $4.10 at even money and the exacta paid $28.00. The Other Horse was the 5th favorite at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

Casse’s had Sanity in race 6. He won at 7/2 and paid $9.10. The exacta paid $56.00. The Other Horse in the exacta was the 4th Favorite at 7/1 in a 9 horse field.

Race 7 Florida Won Placed and paid $3.50. The exacta was $19.10.  The 2nd Favorite came in at 5/2 in a 7 horse field. Since the five race losing streak Casse and Husbands hit 6 out of 7 exactas.

May 18 race 7 Picasso Moon Ran Out.

May 19 Race 5 Afleet Connection ran out.

In race 7 # 7 Black Canary Won at 3/2 and paid $ 5.10. The exacta paid $10.20. The Other Horse was the 2nd favorite at 7/5 in a 10 horse field.

May 20th Casse and Husbands had 5 sprinters .

Race 1 Syllable placed with a mutuel of $2.30.  He was the 4/5 Favorite.
The exacta paid $9.50.  The 2nd Favorite came in at 3/2 in a 5 horse field.

Casse and Husbands placed in race 3 with Sow Girl at $2.50 with 6/5 odds. The 3rd favorite won at 5/2 the exacta paid $21.50.

The third sprinter in race 7 Honor and Trust ran out.

The 4th entry in race 8 Listendlisten ran out.

The 5th sprinter in race 9 Vanish ran out.

May 21 race 6 Undermine ran out.

Race 7 # 6 Commute ran out.

May 26th race 7 Get The News ran out.

May 26th race 9 4 Hollow Point ran out.

Casse and Husbands have been out of the exacta for 7 races in a row.

The last race of the day in race 10 Casse and Husbands break the losing streak with Dea who won at 5/2 and paid $7.80. The exacta paid $36.90. The Other Horse was the 2nd Favorite at 3/1 in a 12 horse field.

May 27th Casse and Husbands hit another sprinter in race 7 with Salute with Honor and paid $4.80, 7/5 odds. The exacta was $29.60. The 5th Favorite filled the exacta at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

June 1st they Won with Ride The Comet at 3/1 paying $8.20. The exacta paid $74.80 when the 4th Favorite filled the exacta at 13/1 in a 7 horse field.

June 2nd Casse and Husbands had three sprinters;
Race 5 # 2 Sailng By ran out.

Race 7 # 4 Elusive Quality Won paying $5.10 at 3/2 odds and the exacta paid $15.70. The 2nd Favorite came in at 5/2 in a 9 horse field.

Race 8 Conquest Panthera ran out.

June 3rd Casse and Husbands had three more sprinters; Race 6 Fly Away Pride Places at 6/5 and pays $3.50. The exacta is $109.30. The 5th Favorite came in at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

Race 9 Conquest Lemonraid placed at 25/1. There was no payout for second place. It was a 4 horse field the exacta paid $6.60. The 1st Favorite won at 1/10 odds in a 4 horse field.

Race 11 # 5 Undermine ran out.

Casse and Husbands went 9-7-78% in the exacta on their last 9.

Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands since opening day went to post with 40 sprinters, 20 hit the exacta for a 50% exacta hit rate.

From the 20 exactas 9 won and 11 placed. 19 racing days and Casse and Husbands averaged 2.1 runners a day even though there were only 4 days with 2 runners. Casse and Husbands hit and lost in bunches.

They had two losing streaks. The first was 5 races then the second was 7 races. They had 3 exacta streaks of 3 races and one 4 race exacta streak.

6 horses produced exactas of $15.70 or less. All had the 1st or the 2nd Favorite as half the exacta.

The Other Horse is a very interesting category. It shows how the exacta relates to the favorites and the payouts.

The 1st Favorite came in 3 times with Casse and Husbands.

The 2nd Favorite was the other half of the exacta 9 times

The 3rd favorite 2 times.

The 4th Favorite 2 times.

The 5th Favorite 4 times.

If my betting plan was one key horse and three fillers then turn it around and bet 3 fillers with the key horse for the exacta that’s a total of 4 horses I could key Casse and effectively bet up to the 4th Favorite and cash on 16 of Casse’s 20 exactas. I label that cherry picking.

Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands hit 20 exactas from their sprinters and averaged a $32.69 exacta.

Last Week I spent two days looking at videos on handicapping. I know that from these two days I did not watch, listen or find a trainer handicapper. All were speed players trying to ad in a positive trainer stat to their speed play or exotic bet. If they were trainers players they would have said I bet trainers. Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands at Woodbine in sprint races over the past 4 years went 520-238-46%. This year on their first 40 sprint races at Woodbine they have been in the exacta 20 times for a 50% strike rate. Today Saturday the 9th at Woodbine Trainer Mark Casse and Jockey Patrick Husbands have 3 sprinters.

Race 3 # 9 Blackout 6/1

Race 5 # 5 Hanalei Moon 7/2

Race 6 # 4 Closer Still 6/1

For The Triple Crown I will root for Justify at 4/5.

 

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