Author: Susan

I’ve made some videos today that explain how I walk through the list of Standouts and decide which ones are potential bets including Ed’s and my reasons for passing or why they are considered. Apologies for the roughness to these. It’s the best I am able to do with how I’m feeling. Also want to mention the reason for going fast is because of the video size verses what we’re able to upload for you to view and there is much to share which is why.

And in order to follow here is the pdf for today’s Standouts 1-27-23

We’ve built a module that calculates and then assigns a rating to applicable statistics (Layoffs, Claims, Debuts, Won Last Race from our horse racing database beginning Jan 1, 2014) along with how each variable performs to these statistics separated by and specific to each track, class, distance and surface and when one of these applicable stats is in today’s race at today’s track, class, distance and surface that includes any and all shifting taking place such as with today’s jockey, owner, equipment, medication, workout patterns leading into the race and so on assigns this rating in a form of hierarchy derived through the algorithms, percentages weighed against the other runners within this same race, that then projects an outcome to the order of finish.

Then the module separates out the runners within a race whose top rating is at least 13 points higher than the next runners rating and lists these as Standouts.

The ultimate goal is for the runners that make it to the list of Standouts will Win on average 60 to 70% of the time and have an in the money hit rate on average of 80% or more so Zen Racing Stats is profitable flat betting all.

Since Version 2 we win on average between 28 and 36%, discovered through tracking the results that we actually place more than we win and have an on average overall hit rate of 63 to 72.5% in the money. Considerably up from Version 1 though we’re only about 30% in.

We’ll be releasing a copy of our program to all Zen shareholders who have signed the NDA and License agreement as soon as my equistats partner says ready (hopefully early this week) and are in the process of making videos that identifies what we have and because there is a lot to go over I thought it best to write out the constants. 

These are specifics, essential to keep in mind when viewing each race because none of this is mainstream.  As an example, at first glance of this screen shot you may view Todd Pletcher numbers impossible, too low as Pletcher has lots of MSW runners. 

He does, but it is key to note that these numbers are specific to AQU, at 7 furlongs on the dirt in a MSW class yet the MSW purse may be 50K and tomorrow he has the exact same everything but the purse may be 75K so his numbers will be different yet the display of MSW will look the same which explains why you may see different. This also defines how powerful any positive percentage is because you will also view many zeros in a race which simply means this is the first time today’s trainer is running in all things specific to this race.

Without getting too off topic an excellent point to make is during this building process we track results and from these we learn what to adjust meaning it is possible that separating MSW by purse payout may be too tweaked and the numbers might increase if we combine all purse levels.  We noticed that this happen with Distance and understood adjustments that we should make. Yet in order to ready Version 2 so we could show proof of concept so we could raise additional capital to continue progressing we had to wait.  Perhaps inclusion of such would have increased our win percentages even more.

The follow defines the constants:

Track Specific:
Only identifies races that any one trainer or trainer/jockey combination ran at this specific track. Does not include overall record

Class Specific
Class is segmented by purse so as an example when you see a Trainer enter a runner in a Claiming Race with a purse of $10,000 at 6 furlongs on the dirt at Aqueduct, and same trainer has a runner in another Claiming Race with a purse of $20,000 at 6 furlongs on the dirt at Aqueduct, even though the program displays that today’s race is a Claim for both, the actual calculation on the number of tries and win place and shows will be different from the $10,000 purse even though everything else is the same.

Distance Specific
Each distance 5f, 5.5f, 6f, 6.5f, 7f, 7.5f, 8f, 8.5 and so on is calculated specific to.
Also, different by surface so 5f on the turf is not the same as 5 f on the dirt.

Surface Specific
Most race tracks have more than one surface so all information provided is specific to each.

4-Race Form Cycle Applicable Statistics for:

Layoffs:
1^st After a Layoff
2^nd After a Layoff
3^rd After a Layoff
4^th After a Layoff

Claims:
1^st After a Claim
2^nd After a Claim
3^rd After a Claim
4^th After a Claim

Debuts:
1^st Race Debut
2^nd Race Debut
3^rd Race Debut
4^th Race Debut

Won Last Race:
1^st Race After a Win
2^nd Race After a Win
3^rd Race After a Win
4^th Race After a Win

Even though the statistical count stops and is only identified within the module when in the 4-Race form cycle, the algorithms record all finishing positions.
and
The percentages are not cumulative and actual finishing positions.

This week will be filled setting up access to our program and making videos to walk through. All shareholders that would like a copy of our program are welcome to this when ready after signing the NDA and the Licensing Agreement. Let us know if you did not receive these docs and want a copy by emailing my assistant Jon at edbain@edbain.com and he’ll send these to you.

After this I will share a plan/idea on a way Zen can continue forward in my absence with a beneficial solution to all involved, even our non horse player investors that could take care of operating costs and being able to do so without going through crowd funding.

Evening

I’ve read everyone’s messages and couldn’t help becoming overwhelmed by the love and good energy you sent. Thank you for this! For your prayers, well wishes and encouragement. If anyone has a chance to endure life a little bit longer, it’s me. I can pull from your strength and keep the fight, as one of my good friends so well stated and use the energy you resonate to move forward with what we began as this is the majority of our shareholders wish!

I’ve given this a great deal of thought as to how to keep things progressing and have a plan that would require all of us working somewhat together and by doing so this would keep us advancing by approaching this growth in steps. The key to this lays with us getting the first part of this in place. From here you will see where this would lead and how the rest would be able to happen whether or not I remain.

You’re part of a business and in order for any business to run there are expenses. There are also write offs towards these expenses which I will elaborate on later. Until now everyone of these expenses were covered by the investments the shareholders initially made, then our developers working without pay because of the new promising investments we all perceived forthcoming and when it was taking time to ensure this, which is not uncommon when anyone is considering a large investment, the developers work had to cease because they kept to task as long as they could without pay,

So this is when I chose to go “all in” monetarily as well as physically in order to release Version 2 knowing the algorithms added in this version would increase the programs selected winners substantially. And it did! This took our progress to 30% complete.

And because of this considerable improvement in the program selected winners (up from on average 19 to 24% to 30 to 40% winners and 50% on average overall in the money to 67 to 75%) I did not have concerns about doing so because I saw substantial funding forthcoming plus we were now in the position to make bets.

So when anticipated funding came to a halt and unrealized by me so did my health the dynamics changed and here we are and to relay this properly where we are is important to define.

The initial intension was to build a betting program that included Bill Benter’s already proven data points added to Ed’s whose algorithms were derived from years of successful investing in horse racing through the use of these statistics so when the output of the programs top selections reached on average 70 to 75% winners (not in the money, but actual average winners) that one person, Ed, me or a designated bettor would place wagers daily on these selections and split all profit amongst the shareholders derived from the number of shares owned.

Well……. along the way this grew slightly towards a bigger plan. Not that we weren’t going to invest in bets when we reached the maximum output of winners, we would though when we realized that with the incorporation of A I (Artificial Intelligence) that we could robotically trade in a much larger and even more consistent way this was something we should do. The Casino that we’re set up with that offers us unheard of cash rewards for our bets even asked if this was what we were going to do.

To build our program from the beginning required a daily updated horse racing database which my equistats partners and myself own, and to add algorithms through the use of this database requires clean (meaning all points must match. Without getting too involved which would get us off track to relaying this, this means every way all trainers, or jockey’s or owners are entered daily into the base, and there are many multiple ways each name is entered, these must match so when you’re getting statistics, they’re accurate because the database knows all the names that each way belongs to. Though it’s not that simple. Every day new names are added, similar names are added, people come in and out of racing. You’ll see trainers come and go and jockey’s, and especially owners and so on). The reason this is mentioned is because even though we have a horse racing database it requires daily cleanup and this has to be done in all categories so for the early part of our venture most of the time was spent cleaning up our database and while doing so we weren’t seeing any progress on our end. And this caused some issues because we couldn’t start writing algorithms until the database or sections of it were clear and since we weren’t building anything yet it was getting difficult sourcing for funds. So the solution was using our database along with purchasing data files which allowed us to move forward and this is how we made it to today. In addition there are files we purchase so we calculate our information on the upcoming races as well as keep up with race day changes. We have our program on a server that we own which adds to the monthly expense. Couple this with other absolutely necessary annual expenses such as securing the server, filing tax returns, licensing fees and the bare minimum monthly expense that does not even include one person even our assistants or myself or my partner any salary comes to $2K. All of which I personally have been paying out of pocket since our capital ran out.

These expenses are all attributed to Zen. This does not include paying anything to equistats for use of the database which is OK for now as my partners have agreed to provide this data feed until a time that Zen would be able to pay nor any expenses equistats has separate from Zen. In other words without Zen paying for the expenses directly related to our daily operation, our program that we built will not run. Even once my partner has this ready for your personal use.

And unfortunately this $2K average a month does not come due evenly. For example in January the things that come due that must be paid in January costs us $6K. Then the monthly expenses sort of even out until each quarter where we must continually maintain $6K on hand to ensure things keep moving.

That shared, there is an additional point to mention. Out of our 36 shareholders, there are only 11 who regularly bet on racing so offering the program for personal use means nothing as they would not know how to invest with it and make a return. And since the dynamics have changed and at this juncture no one person will be making bets for Zen, their share owned is in limbo unless we get Zen to fruition or sell it.

In light of this, it would be difficult to ask them to pay towards this monthly fee. Which is the reason I stated that in order for Zen to move forward we have to first implement this step and this step requires on average 2 K a month to move forward. In addition there are several investors who pulled together their initial investment because they realized what we were doing yet to come up with any additional investment at this time would not be easy to accomplish. Yet if given the program to use in it’s current form they would have the opportunity to make money and because of this they would be able to invest their share at a later date. So this is my thoughts and what I suggest:

Because we require 6K in January to keep moving forward I set up some on line links for everyone to invest what they can so we can keep things moving. The links are set for $200, $500 and $1,000. If we ask each of the 11 investors that will be using the program to invest $200 per month each this would cover the expenses to keep things rolling. So to begin I’m asking the 11 shareholders that will use the program to invest. Each would be responsible for $2K for the year. If each can invest any of these amounts or more from now through January to please do so. If able to invest more now than later or the full amount now instead of later, particularly for this month of January so we can cover for January’s amount due, this would keep us going. The quantity can be added to the link upon checkout or can select multiple links in order to increase amount invested.

PLEASE NOTE: We have created a new page for these links: Shareholder Overhead Inv
This is the page to go to whenever you make an investment. Thank you

This would give time to all who use the program to make money and after you’re on this path, then you too can begin to pay your share of the operating costs in order to keep things going.

And because this is a business, you will be able to write off not only these individual expenses but also we’ll be issuing an IRS form K-1 for the losses incurred in 2022 by Zen. Since we haven’t yet moved out of the building stage, all money is spent without a return so the loss incurred in shared by each share owned. As an example, it is realistic to say that in 2022 Zen lost over 300K so each share would get to write off $3K per share loss on their personal return. Added to this, would be any money that you personally paid towards overhead.

I spoke to my equistats partner today, our head developer and he said that the program for personal use will be ready within the week.

By now almost everyone should have received an email from my assistant Jon which return address is from one of my equistats partners, named Russell Staggs. The email is in his name because he is the one who opened our Rocket Lawyer account. This message sent is a review of our Non-Disclosure Agreement for the personal use of our betting program. As stated presently this is set up for One person to use and my equistats partner is making the necessary changes for us so this can be used individually, on a personal level and because we want to protect everyone’s investment we have set up an NDA so our program states only for the use of Zen Racing LLC shareholders, the rightful owners who paid for it. Anyone who wishes to use the program must first sign this NDA and anyone who did not receive an invite for this, please let me know and we’ll set up an NDA for you.

Also anyone who did receive notice and does not want a copy of our program for personal use, please let us know so we can close out your NDA.

Since this post is long and I have more to share about how we can keep things rolling I’ll stop here and resume a new post soon.

I am moving slower than I have in the past. Sleeping a lot which is good, taking supplements that have assisted in my lasting this long and I have been able to put most of my personal affairs in order. Though I ask you to be patient with me regarding correspondence. Have much positive to share and once I do I think you will see too how things can keep moving forward and all the initial plans we have for Zen can continue.

This is the toughest post I’ve had to write to date. I’ve started 20 different times, 20 different ways and this is the best I can do. Hope you can appreciate how difficult this is for me.

Apologies in advance for the length of this though you’ll soon understand its necessity.

I’m exhausted but have recovered from the diverticulitis. While in the hospital they ran additional tests due to other complications that were present and though not unexpected it still felt like a gut punch when directly stated. I have been diagnosed with end stage ADPKD, which stands for autosomal dominant poly-cystic kidney disease, and unfortunately this is end of life stuff. Along with this the doctor discovered what they referred to as suspicious cells. Could be cancer though this would require a Pet Scan to confirm that it is.

I say not unexpected because for the past few months my health has been declining to the point where I used to be able to recover in a few days after a push to not getting better and overall feeling absolutely awful. When finding out about the diverticulitis I hoped this was the cause but I know now that it is not.

About a year or so ago I let everyone know about the 2011 undifferentiated connective tissue disease (multiple autoimmunes) diagnosis and stopped there as this explained enough however in this same year I was actually diagnosed with 16 chronic ailments.

Lupus is one of the autoimmunes and at the time my Urologist believed was the culprit to the on going issues with my kidney’s that included repeated stones, regular UTIs, blood in urine and more and this doctor stressed the importance of keeping my kidney’s active because he said later in life I would be at high risk of getting ADPKD. He prescribed a drug called hydrochlorothiazide which is a blood pressure medicine that acts like a diuretic to combat however due to having insurance, not having insurance, having it again, I was on again off again for this drug.

In light of this news I understand everyone would want to know What will happen to Zen Racing Stats LLC?

First because of how I felt before I knew about the diverticulitis I elected to look into options with the first potentially selling the company and sought out the guy who offered 2 + million for it before we released Version 2 and found out he died. Then I looked into another potential interest and no go there too.

The second option is something I have been considering for some time, especially when the anticipated capital investment came to a halt but the only reason I did not move forward on this then was because of the decline in my health.

At first I attributed this to the massive on going push that I endlessly give to Zen, the many hats I wear every day to pull all this together that is driven by the certainty of our success because I am well aware that someone else named Bill Benter has already proven a billion dollar return building what we are in the process of and as brilliant as he is, Benter did so without the algorithms and expertise that Ed knew to apply that I thought the decline in my health was a result of this push.

This option is equity crowd funding which is different from crowd funding where you’re selling a product. Simply put (minus the details) you can run an equity campaign if you have a company, which we do, you can show what your company is about and how you make money, which we have and most important to these potential investors is how they will receive a return on their investment which we already can do by providing proof of concept from our Version 2s results.

The reason I haven’t committed to this option yet, or opened up a discussion even before my terminal diagnosis is because I honestly don’t know if I am able to give this the push needed. I am not sure I have any push left. Yet now that I know my fate and because my hearts desire is not to leave all Zen’s 36 shareholders hanging, I would use what time I have left to push forward though I am fully aware that I cannot do this alone. I am in discussions about this with my assistant Jon who just made me aware that he’s on board if we choose to go this route and with one of my equi-stats/ Zen racing partners to see what they would be able to help with though this alone may not be enough because of what’s involved. But lets say we can group together and pull this part off, then to run an equity campaign would require around a 30K investment of which $10K gets paid to Start Engine (the crowd funding company) to get us platform ready including adhering to SEC requirements, and we’d be required to provide financials and projection statements so we’d have to hire for this, with the rest going to video productions showing the potential shareholders what we have so we’d have to raise 30K first.

And if we did elect to go this route I would be opening up the 4 remaining shares in Zen that we have back and would campaign for 5 million, amount needed to complete the module to where it’s producing on average 70 to 75% winners (not 70 to 75% in the money) and then would incorporate A I (Artificial Intelligence) so Zen could robotically trade. And so you’re made aware, the Casino that we have our arrangement with that gives us unmatched cash rewards on our investment Will accept robotic trades.

This option for capital influx would put Zen in the position to hire our developers full time as well as the data scientists, pay all outstanding balances including the loans from shareholders so our slate is clean and if I’m gone before we roll, between my assistant Jon and my two equistats partners (one is our head developer) they would know how to get us there.

Getting us there would take about a year and a half to complete. Honestly it’s really way to soon for us to be betting with the program now because even though what we’ve accomplished to date is nothing short of amazing, at on average 30 to 40% winners (more closer to 30), 19 to 24% on average placing, 11 to 14% showing and an overall in the money hit rate of 70+% it still requires too much analyzing. But the reason we were betting now is because we did not get the anticipated funding and it was an option to make money and keep us moving forward. Yet because of my health and the amount of time that has to be allotted before deciding bets, our progression was extremely slow.

Now there is one more important thing you should know.

The biggest concern I’ve had since I realized how south my health went is You guys, your investment. I don’t want you to lose any part of it and my prayers for this were answered because in August I signed up with a law firm that is handling the government compensation for the veterans who served at Camp Lejeune and had water contamination that lead to quite a few health issues, esophageal cancer is one and unfortunately this is the cause of Ed’s death and though it can and probably will take up to 3 years to settle, the firm I am with says the payout will be anywhere between 300K and 1 Million and in some cases, like death and cancer could very well go to jury and these cases could be awarded a bit more. So this is what I’ve done. I have a revocable living trust and was able to list this Camp Lejeune settlement in this trust and I’ve listed every person who owns shares in Zen that they will receive the initial investment of $6K per share for each share they have at the time of settlement and for those who loaned Zen money with the promise of double back, I’ve included this in your payout too. So if we stop here. If we decide to go no further and not go after equity crowd funding, your investment will not be lost. And by listing this in a trust instead of a will you’ll receive this because it does not go to probate.

I realize this is a lot to process. This is the second saddest day of my life with the first being when I lost Ed because I wanted more than anything to take you, all of you across the finish line. For Ed, for me and for You! and now I know I won’t be able to do this and it hurts.

My drive has never been for the money. I wanted to make it but because I wanted to give back. To use the money I made from this to help injured jockeys, horses, and good causes for all things in our world.

I will leave Zen’s course of action up to You. Meaning what ever way you as a shareholder want to go, let me know through email and once I hear back from all we’ll move in the direction of the majority. Please take your time and think this through and when ready let me know.

and

As of today and until Zen reaches it’s conclusion whichever you choose, we are posting the full list of Standouts for all shareholders to use that can be accessed daily at the following link: stand-outs which there is also a link to above in the main menu. Please remember that these are for Zen Shareholders eyes only and can not be shared or sold as the non disclosure applies throughout the life of Zen. These will be posted around 7 PM EST each evening before.

and

I ask a favor. I am so worn out after all this and I really need to rest and also some time, meaning time before I answer anyone who writes because this has taken so much out of me.

I Love You and think of each of you as close friends. I want to thank you from my heart for sharing this journey with me!

Susan

Hope everyone has a wonderful holiday!

Susan

Insight to Ed’s Brain

When Ed completed 2 years worth of stats for Layoffs and Claims he began to see enough data with a reasonable number of tries that identified potential bets.

Anyone who has had a conversation with Ed had to recognize his confidence and because of this often thought that Ed precisely knew how to bet out of the gate. Almost as if he were born with an innate understanding of how to invest and win on horseracing, however, that couldn’t be farther from the truth. His confidence came from recording statistics, and then letting the recording of these statistics guide him.

Personally I believe the secret to his success was it never mattered to him how much work was involved to find out how to win. If something lead him in a different direction even after spending a year or two recording information a certain way, he’d start over.

He began by tracking 138 different trainer moves! He did all this manually, with a pencil and a pad. This was before we had a computer so for his birthday one year I bought him a pack of erasers. Of course as a joke but it was my way of trying to get him to accept the idea that it would be good to transition to a P C.

This was the beginning of our working together as a team that also defined our roles. Since neither of us were schooled in computers I willingly learned how to prepare spreadsheets and we went from there. Essentially we were still manually entering the data yet having this information in a spreadsheet and being able to decipher is what made Ed Bain happen.

While recording these 138 trainer moves Ed noticed Layoffs and Claims were dominant so this is when he made the first decision to start over. Initially he combined all distances, meaning he did not separate by sprint and route and to give you a real look inside Ed’s mind he once again made the decision to start completely over even after compiling 2 years worth of Layoffs and Claims because he realized distance matters. It’s this willingness to adjust, to change, to start over, that gives him his edge. It’s the reason he was able to figure out how to consistently win.

The manual recording had it’s advantages too because whether Ed realized this or not during the process he was subconsciously making note of things that surfaced at the most opportune times, when he was deciding which ones to bet. And I’m happy to say the same holds true for me because I am the one who pulls together the results so I can monitor how the Standouts are doing. I actually manually write down the results throughout the day, something I’ve done since day one because this gives me a hands on mental subconscious note of how they’re performing which also gives me direction.

It took about 3 years from the time Ed surfaced with his Layoff and Claims data to establishing a sound way to bet. All the while recording his bets and tracking his results.

We had spreadsheets for everything; just 4 + 30s (that we used to publish in monthly newsletter), then separate ones that contained all Layoffs and Claims stats, then spreadsheets for his bets and these grew as he moved along.

He was not an out of the gate win bettor nor did he strictly bet 4 + 30s which meant a trainer had 4 wins or more plus a 30% win rate or higher on this Layoff or Claim trainer move and he bet small during this process of growth.

It was during this analysis that he came to understand a 30% win rate also equates to a 70% loss rate and that in order to be profitable it was necessary to eliminate races which is how he came up with what he used to refer to as filters.

As an example he began with using the horse’s race record to eliminate. If the horse had zero wins for 4 at this track and/or distance, he’d pass. Then he noticed often if a horse won their last race that unless they won in an Allowance grade or better that the runner rarely repeat. So this was added to his list of filters. Another filter came about when one or more of his 4 + 30 stats showed up in the same race because whenever he selected one over the other, the other always won. Always 🙂

Thus began “the more often than not” rule. What this essentially means is that no matter what routine you establish, there are always going to be times when what you threw out or went against beats you. It’s part of being a horse player. No one wins every race though I do think we’re on track to eventually win 60% or more. So in order to know what to do, you track results and you see where the profit is and then you bet accordingly.

I’ll give a personal example of one of my more often than not rules. Whenever I make a serial race wager, usually one that includes 4 or more races, I make a bet I refer to as the either or.

What this means is I look for a trainer that happens to have 2 entries within my serial race wager (though not in the same race) and this trainer has to have a fairly high overall hit rate. Let’s say 20%. More than likely I am in this serial race wager because there is one race within the sequence that has a Stand out for me. It could be for any reason but there is one particular horse I really like that I want to stand alone with. So from here I scope the surrounding races to see what high profile trainer might have multiple entries within the wager I want to make and often times I find several which is great because I actually look at each of their runners and sometimes there is a good reason not to like one or the other so I decide not to use that trainer. Long story shorter once I decide who to use, I single them in each race on two separate tickets with my single that lead me to this race in the first place and then do all and all in the legs where I don’t have a stat.

To define, lets say we have a Pick 4 and in leg 1 I really like the 2 horse and trainer Brad Cox has two entries, one in leg 2 which we’ll label the 1 horse and one in leg 4 which we’ll label the 4 horse. My two tickets would look like this:

2/1/ALL/ALL and 2/ALL/ALL/4

So if my single hits and Brad Cox wins either of these two legs I win more often than not by betting this way. Sounds simple but it took quite a few tries for me to establish this bet because I didn’t always use All in the middle and learned the hard way to do so. However sometimes in the All slot the favorite hits even though I perceived that race wide open and thus the pick 4 wager payout isn’t big. But, More Often Than Not, it is. It pays great. And the other deciding factor before even deciding this bet is the fact that my single has decent odds and I perceive the serial race wager wide open and worth the bet OR I pass.

The reason I share all this is because I have figured out one way so far for us to consistently win. And I am applying this each day I bet so we can grow our betting pool. Though there are so many more opportunities awaiting and the only way we discover what these are is by deciphering the results which I continue to do.

In other words because we have this understanding we’re already turning a profit and we don’t have to wait 3 years to know what to do. So we’re moving forward betting this one way, continuing to bet small until I get down the routine and our pool is consistently growing like Ed, I will then increase the increments.

In addition I’m trying and will continue to try various things that we’ve discovered and because of this sometimes you will see days where we haven’t won, though because when doing so we bet small so we’re not experiencing a big loss. When something doesn’t work or requires an adjustment, I’ll pull back, meaning I don’t bet, instead analyze some more and then try again.

For now it looks like the weekends (Fri-Sat-Sun) will get the majority of our wagers.

You can follow our progress which includes our betting balance sheet at the following link: https://anyhorseplayersoutthere.com/version-2-wagers/

and in case you’re not aware each night we publish a full card for you to view that identifies the Standouts (the programs top rated selection with a big advantage over the next best runner) in bold that you can access each evening usually by 7 PM EST at the following link:
https://anyhorseplayersoutthere.com/potential-bets-all/

Lastly we also publish the Standout results for each day so everyone can follow along with how these are performing. The other day we hit 80%+ in the money with a lot of winners though if we bet all would have lost about $10 cause of so many low price payouts and on that day there were a lot of scratches so many no payouts for show. That’s part of this too.
These are posted at the following link:
https://anyhorseplayersoutthere.com/results-2022-may/

That is the list that I choose our wagers from.

In closing I did get some rest this week, and am rejuvenated. I will continue to be engrossed in our venture, betting, building our bank and adding to things as we move along. For the most part I will remain quiet unless of course we have an exceptional day I will be certain to let you know 🙂

Looking forward to tomorrow’s races.

Before I get going… want you to know that I have food poisoning and unfortunately it put me through quite a lot. I’m now just able to work, though am still a bit weak. This happened Sunday yet the excitement of what we have and the wonderful discoveries we’ve made as to how to make our bets is literally what keeps me going.

We’ve come to a similar place Ed found himself in when he began to bet the trainer stats he manually tracked. He understood the value of this information, that a 30% win rate was something he could capitalize on, yet just as important was this meant a 70% loss rate. Its this understanding of statistics that was the key to Ed’s success and why he was able to sustain a profit for more than 30 years. And the great news is, I know first hand how he accomplished this!

Technology has provided us several advantages that were not afforded Ed in the 90s with the first having the capability to daily update all data where we can then export fields that lets us monitor our modules performance which is how we know that since Version 2 the Standouts are winning on average between 30 to 40%, placing 20 to 29% and hitting show on average 11.5% with a consistent in the money hit rate of 72.5%.

From this information it is reasonable to assume that if we flat bet X amount across on all Standouts that we’d begin to make money right away. However, this is not the case. There are many reasons, quite a lot of low payouts. Winners, in the $2.60 to $2.80 range and $2.10 to $2.20 for place and show. And come race day the list of Standouts changes, sometimes several times throughout the day due to scratches, surface conditions and jockey switches which while betting requires my monitoring as well as keeping up with throughout the day.

We have 15K to work with. This is our base. What we’re going to build our bank on. Understand we could go through 15K fast if we plunge before we go through analysis and perceive the best place to invest. So to begin, we essentially have to test bet all scenarios to find what works more often than not and it’s through this that we will establish a routine, a set of rules that percentage wise works more in our favor than not, meaning that these rules win more than they lose and in order to accomplish this, we’re betting small, analyze the results, continue betting what we discover profitable, and more important stop when we’ve tried something and it is not. This is why I bet some days, then stop. We go inside the numbers, adjust to what works, set aside what doesn’t, and go again. Over several weeks we’ve bet all, meaning every single Standout across the board, betting all show since 72.5% on average are in the money, betting place and show, betting smaller amounts in win, more in place, and even more in show and what we’ve found is not unexpected and that is all decisions made boil down to odds and where is their value. Amazingly we’ve discovered ways of getting value from 3/5.

We’re not far, meaning within the next week I see us having at least one consistent money making routine down that will let us open up the amounts we’re betting and we’ll expand from there. In other words I see us rolling steady by Sunday next week. We’ll stay course and continue to analyze which will add to what we bet and in turn continue to add to our bottom line and so on.

The following is a list of reports that I’d like you to view and/or download when you get the chance with an explanation below each. My goal is to relay an understanding of what this analyzing entails and how we’re deciphering what to bet.

This first group is what we recently bet:

Zen Bets 9/23/22, Zen Bets 9/24/22, 9/27/22, 9/28/22 Sorted by Track and Bet Type, 9/28/22, and 9/29/22.

All the above reports were test bets. We bet every single Standout in w/p/s, every daily double and exacta using all to see if this could be flat bet which can not. In addition we bet exotic wagers when we saw something however you can see from these results that this at this point burns too much through what we have to work with yet necessary to try to see.

Next is today’s reports. Since I’ve been working on this post all day at it’s now 8:32 PM Pacific time, and I uploaded these hours ago when about half the races hadn’t yet run, this will give you an idea of what a day is like. In addition I made bets that I was going to include but I ran out of gas so will upload tomorrow. We had a fairly break even day.

9/30/22 Standouts 1, 9/30/22 Standouts 2,

The following is a sorted list of the Standouts. This Shows what tracks to bet and just as important what tracks to avoid and then there are several tracks that are definitely betable however requires discretion.
Standouts sorted by track 6/20/22 to 9/27/22

Re this list, The following track we are to completely avoid: All small tracks that show both quarter horse and T-Breds, all Canadian tracks except for Woodbine including avoiding Fort Erie and the following US Tracks; CT, EVD, PID, EVD.

Then the following is my Guide meaning what to bet Win, Place, or Win, Place and Show according to odds. Right now more generalized that when we have future versions with additional algorithms that increase the win percentage and I’ve found following this guide has saved us money meaning there are times to bet just win, place and not include show and other times where we not only include all three but only bet show.

Morning Line- Odds Table

In closing I need to share some things personal. I do deal with quite a few health issues and almost daily push through no matter but have to be honest in the fact that this really catches up to me. Some days I literally can not get out of bed. Usually this occurs on Monday and some times runs over to Tues after an intense weekend. The reason I share this is cause I want everyone to know that I am doing everything humanly possible to move us forward and my plans are once we have an established routine that we can have my backup bettors take over on days when I am dealing with such. So my goals always have long term thoughts in mind. No need to be concerned. I’m sharing this only because this is what I face yet I have our venture and it’s continuance in the forefront always on my mind.

And I have a request. Because my person can not rattle off a quick reply to anyone who has questions, and I take to heart every persons concerns I ask that you give me this time, whatever it takes, a few weeks or a month to get this right, to get us going without having to personally address anyone’s thoughts. Please know that this request is not because I do not wish to answer or address anyone. It’s purely because I am one person, who unfortunately has to deal with health issues regularly and has to wear quite a few hats while keeping us going that in order to be all I can for everyone I really need to be doing just this, deciphering, analyzing, and betting so we can roll.

Long story as short as possible. I never bet on a horse race before Ed, ever. I may have accompanied several to a race track for an evening out yet I did not find myself at a window calling out a bet and when I finally did, it was Only after writing down word for word what Ed said when calling out his bets. This was because I was absolutely petrified that I’d make a mistake and Not that a mistake is something I couldn’t accept, it would be shocking if I meant to wager $6 and when I called out the bet incorrectly they said the actual cost was $180……. LOL But really this was my fear.

Fast forward 30 years of which three I did not bet. I observed a master at work and I can say this cause I witnessed the masters work, work 🙂

So after 3 years of accompanying him to the track and mostly loving the fact that we were outside surrounded by beautiful beings (horses) and very very unique people that Ed and I could fill a book with, I said to Ed that I wanted to bet.

Which brings me to today and what I wish to share.

First anyone who has read my autobiography Signers knows that the very first words Ed said to me when I shared with him that I too wanted to wager was that it was absolutely necessary for me to bet with my own money. My earned money because as like all of us know, making money, enough money so we can live comfortably is all any of us strives for so this is something most of us would not put at risk. I am included in most of us 🙂

Ed was a flat out win bettor. I found this impossible, agonizing and Not anything I would Ever want anything to do with.

Yet my role in our wonderful 30 years together and I do not say this lightly as Ed was truly my soul. His presence in my life essentially ruined me for anyone else which I like. I’m basically his forever and am just fulfilling our lives purpose. Yet his win bets were so cut and dry and would like all to remember that I witnessed his success unfold before my eyes which contrary to what some people believe took years and years to develop. I did Not personally like the way Ed bet at all. I found it stressful but after I jumped in I was studious to the umpth degree because I was truly learning from the master However several years later after witnessing his top selections coming in the money on average 60% of the time, around 18 to 20% winning, and almost always at high returns I figured there just had to be a way to capitalize on this and Not betting Place or Show…………..

The reason I bring all this up is I am Not equipped with the ability to bet like Ed. Far removed, however, I am an excellent exotic bettor with my specialty within races when we have a stat that I perceive will be in the money at least 60% of the time with a morning line of at least 9/2. And anyone who has been around us for some time knows that I kill this. Even Ed knew and relied on me to fill out tickets especially when he was considering betting an exacta or a tri.

So my dilema came in cause Ed and me understood Bill Benter’s winning formula is he bet 70 to 75% of his wagers on win, place and or show. Now granted this was when he reached a plateau that we’ve yet to accomplish which takes money though when he made this statement he was already producing 70% winners, where we are between 30 to 40%. Though substantial we still have a way to go but this won’t happen until we’re properly funded.

I guess the best way to look at what we have is we’re about 30% of where we’re going to be. Though that does Not mean we can’t make things work now. And considering the funding options are not currently present to the point of my acceptance, this is pretty dam good.

Yet please know me. Who I am. I am responsible for 36 shareholders of which I actually count as 72 because each persons significant other matters so I take this responsibility very serious.

That said, it was Not until Today that the light bulb went off. I finally realized after we reached this point of my betting for us that I just can not bet strictly win, place and/or show. This is so foreign to me but I am a well established, high percentage of wins exotic bettor and I am certain I can make us money this way only I must maintain this to an as race per basis.

Meaning serial wagers will kill our bank roll (though not completely out as we will bet them) however superfectas and trifectas won’t. So today this is where I concentrated my full effort. This does not mean that I didn’t place win/place and or show wagers But what this means is I went after the score and for the first time I felt at home. Though we basically broke even today I saw the light. Before it was a huge step to see betting $50 to show on a horse would change any of our lives. Yet if my key horse is at least 9/2 I can bet this horse in all slots and make us a profit.

Soooo….. this update is to let you know that Today is a Huge Day. Everything has come into focus. I’ve got this figured out. I’ve got us Covered. From this day forward I have absolutely no doubt that we’re going to fly….

What I need and this is mostly because I wear so many hats is time to just bet for us without having to explain anything. Not that I don’t want everyone to know what is going on. It’s purely that being in the position to share my every move doesn’t give me this freedom. Even though I wish to share all, and will, it’s best that I am not having to fill in each day details.

After all whenever anyone trades stocks in the market how often do they have regular personal communication with the person who set up the venture.

That said, we of course will post our wagers, the potential bets for the previous days and the results so all is transparent and everyone can follow along.

We’re here! We reached the point of reaping benefits. Now my primary focus is to keep us rolling. This does not escape me. I completely understand that this is All up to me…. and I plan to perform.

Next Post: 30 to 40% win rate still equates to a 60 to 70% loss rate. Yet we Are using the program and maintaining a profit.

OK…. 🙂

We begin with a 15K betting pool which is what we currently have in hand. There are several other commitments that would bring us to $17,500 though best to wait to count this towards our pool balance once funds are in.

It’s time to get into the details; What we have. How we’ll invest, along with the basis surrounding these decisions as well as what to expect as we move along. Since there is much to share and I will be investing for us this week, I plan to write this in a series.

Beginning with what we have

Like all Apps our program evolves as we deploy versions. Where substantial improvements to the user interface and the percentages of winners and in the money increase with each release.

It is important to keep in mind that our program has been built for one person to use, cull through, set aside potentials, update throughout the day to include race day changes; scratches, jockey switches and surface conditions which almost always amends the Standout list. And because my decisions on what we may bet are decided the evening before, I pay close attention to these changes the day of before making any decision final. Yet it is imperative for me to keep tabs on these wagers prior to each race because the odds can still determine a pass which is why you will see money in the cancel credit column.

The program publishes a top selection for every race run from the algorithms in place, and these are in the money on average 60% of the time. Yet our module was specifically designed to notify us of races where one runner within each race has at least a 10 point advantage over the next runner in that race, or what we refer to as “Standouts” (used to refer to as the Potential Bets). It’s this list that has consistently produced winners on average between 30 and 40% and an in the money hit rate of 72.5%. And this is not only fantastic, it’s amazing and the reason why I know we can win. This also explains why this list can change after scratches because a horse that had an advantage may not have one anymore or a horse that did not have one, now does. Jockey Switches are another variable that’s at play as each trainer does have go-to jocks and this is a built in algorithm, even more refined that the Jockey-Trainer reports we used to produce so when I’m betting and working towards making us money I have to be on top of this pretty much all day.

The interface has Not been designed to print anything. We are able to export results, though currently only for the top selection and not for every runner in each race once the database has been updated and these reports are used to monitor how the module is performing so we know precisely what adjustments we need to make. Even though we are able to use the program now, because this is a work in progress it is not uncommon for something to not function properly every once in awhile, albeit nothing major. Occasionally we’ve had the same runner show up multiple times in the field in a race and noticed this occurred after running the days update. Its understood that making adjustments will continue until we reach our intended goal of producing 70 to 75% winners (not in the money). These reports provide data similar to the records Ed kept when he was manually compiling his statistics and tracking his bets. It is from these exported reports that we are able to publish the results from the Standouts each day on the website.

And we are able to export several full cards to a spreadsheet which again isn’t made ready for viewing so they require clean up which is a task performed by one of our assistants in order to share the full cards for tracks like Saratoga and Del Mar.

As previously mentioned in quite a few blog posts that in order for our venture to work only one person who is making our bets can have regular access to the daily list of Standouts for the sole purpose of making wagers for Zen. Giving access to all would defeat our intended purpose and the reason we built this which is for all Zen shareholders to profit and not one alone.

That said, something Ed and I discussed for when we reached this point of my betting for Zen, is we both would like to provide all shareholders with some gems which is the reason why we kept this export option in when we deployed Version 2. Beginning next week, after Del Mar closes we will post a full card each day for a full week and in order to please all palates we will alternate between the high profile tracks.

Soon we will have Jockey-Trainer reports for you, similar to the pdf I found for New York that Ed compiled from 2018 that we shared in a recent email. This does however require some manual compiling so this will also take a little bit of time though we are in the process of readying things for this now and after we finish setting things on the site in order for all to follow our progress we’ll resume.

I started to bet for us today. The winning formula requires 70 to 75% of our wagers be on Win, Place, and or Show and 20 to 25% on exotics. Currently the program’s top selection is in the money 72.5% of the time however the selections for the remainder of the field is very hit and miss. Because of this, it’s imperative to our bottom line that I limit the exotic wagers and have successfully done so on paper betting doubles and exactas though most time when doing so these bets include all. I’m attaching today’s bets here.

I’ve been working on this blog post between today’s wagers in order to share with you how I am going to bet and at the point of saving these wagers there were several that had yet to run. I also planned to watch the odds on one of these races because the morning line was low however missed doing so. Mentioning because under normal circumstances if bet too low I would pass. However up until this point we were fairly even for the day.

I do plan on looking at races every day. In order for me to be all I can be for all of us which means being able to monitor the races as they happen each day and also figure out the potentials the night before I basically have to become a hermit. And as a one man show, who is the only person at present that can access the casino’s betting site, I am also the one who downloads the spreadsheets of our wagers. And especially now as all this is new and I’m establishing a routine it would be challenging to have to post our wagering reports daily so during this “beginning phase” I will post our wagers made once a week or if able more often so everyone can follow our progress and watch our betting pool grow! 🙂

And we plan to share videos of what we have and between things I plan to continue to update everyone on the blog.

So……… all this is Great News! We made it. We’re Here! As of this week we’re officially in business. Now it’s up to me to make us some money and this is what I plan to do!

Let em roll at the quarter pole!
Thank You Partners. We couldn’t have gotten here without You.

We really have something here and rather than send emails daily about the progress which I have been so tempted to do, I thought the best way to show you what we’ve accomplished is by letting the results speak for themselves.

Download Version 2 Standout Results from 6/20/22 through 7/19/22

We deployed Version 2 on June 20, 2022 and keep track of the results daily and since day one through yesterday, there were 1,466 Standouts, 497 Won for a 33.90% on average win rate, 368 Placed for a 25.10% on average place rate, and 210 Showed for a 14.32% on average show rate and an on average in the money hit rate of 73.32%!

There were 3 races that did not offer place wagers and 64 that did not offer wagers for show. Had we bet $2 across the board on all the Standouts we would have invested $8,656.00 and got back $9,026.42 for a $370.42 profit before adding the 5% on average cash reward for WPS which would add $432.80 to our bottom line or a total profit of $803.22 for $2 bet.

In order to show the value, betting $20 across would net a profit of $8,032.20, and a more realistic amount would be our betting $200 across which would net $80,322.00 profit, on our debut month.

What would this mean to you

Assuming we begin with our slate clean where we no longer owe the developers the $300K for work already completed which would have been a lot more had I not invested everything that I personally have in order to complete and deploy version 2, this $80K is profit after replenishing our betting bank of $200K, though does not include covering the $30,000 monthly operating costs so we’d share $50,322.00 in dividends, or $503.22 per share for one month.

Understand this example is being used to simplify things in order to explain what we can expect as most likely we would not make all these bets due to odds. Realistically we could not bet $200 across on a Standout at a track like Charles Town without depleting the value of the bet, though we could bet more than this at a track like Saratoga or Del Mar so the $200 base is an on average amount we’d wager.

In addition these payouts do not include any exotic wagers like exactas or daily doubles which we would also bet sparingly at first. Exotics generally reap larger payouts as well as cash rewards, however, the proven winning formula to our success, imperative we adhere to especially at this stage, is 70 to 75% of our wagers should always be on win, place and or show and 20 to 25% of our bets placed on exotics.

With these lucrative results it may be difficult to believe that we have a ways to go in order to reach our goal of an on average win percentage of 70%, which I am confident we will obtain as long as we can keep the developing going.

The great news is we have reached the point where we can be consistently profitable so things will only get better as we deploy future versions.

And yes, if you haven’t noticed, I am chomping at the bit to resume making our bets and am doing my absolute best to patiently wait for funding. The carrots dangling and soon we’ll be in reach. This must be what the horses feel like after spending 24/7 in their stall just waiting to bust loose on the track… Gives me a new appreciation of their perspective.