A couple of Bets on Saturday

Every bet I make involves a 4 race form cycle. At Aqueduct Race 7 the # 1a Speke has a Morning Line of 7/2. Todd Pletcher has a Debut 1 Sprint stat of 314-84-26% to win. Pletcher moves up to 34% on Debut 2 Sprint, 34% for Debut 3 Sprint and then the form cycle dives on Debut 4 Sprint 9%.

Pletcher’s stats at Aqueduct for Debut 1 Sprint are 34-12-35% to win. 29 of these races were Maiden Special Weights. At Aqueduct, he won with 12 for a 41% win rate.


Manuel Franco and Todd Pletcher went to post 169 races and won on 32 for a 18% win rate. At Aqueduct these two are 110-22-20%.

In Maiden Special Weights these two are 9-1-11% at the Big A. That MSW stat is the reason I will bet cautiously. If his odds drop to 5/2 or lower I will pass the bet.


Santa Anita Race 8 the # 6 Rye has a morning line of 3/1. William Morey has a Lay 1 Route stat with This Owner of 13-5-38% win rate. The owner is Joseph P. Morey Revocable Trust. Over all on Lay 1 Route Morey is 42-10-23%.

Kent Desormeaux is switching from Frank Alvarado. The horse is a shipper and on the turf. Rye loves to win 15-7-46% win rate. Desormeaux and Morey are 20-8 40% win rate. On the turf Desormeaux and Morey are 6-4-66% If Morey gets bet to 8/5 I will pass the bet.  

Results: The Aqueduct Race missed. Santa Anita, the 8 Rye hit and paid $6.00, $3.60, $2.80. The $2 Exacta paid $23.60. His morning line was 3/1. He went off at 2/1.
______________________
edbain.com News:

Ed just completed Jockey Trainer Reports for Tampa Jockey-Trainer TAM , for Laurel Park Jockey- Trainer LRL ,  for Gulfstream Park  Jockey-Trainer GP , and for Parx Jockey-Trainer PARX .

Interested in more than one Jockey Trainer Exacta Report circuit.  Now you can purchase any 2 completed circuits of your choice and save $10 at the following link:  Any 2 Jockey-Trainer Reports
And
Save additional 10% on All publications in our  Book Store by entering
Coupon Code Save10 on checkout.
_____________

What they are saying about Ed Bain’s new Horse Racing Novel
Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines

Jack Gresser reviewed Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines — 5 star December 4 at 7:54pm ·

Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines is a fascinating and moving story of a true horse player and innovator in the world of Thoroughbred handicapping. The story flows effortlessly with a simple and concise style that makes the reader want to keep reading. For both the horse racing enthusiast and the non-horse player, this book is a must read that dives deep into core human emotions… everything from loneliness to self-doubt to finding your passion. As a youth, Ed found a “friend”, in the form of a library and found his passion as an adult in the form of horse racing.

Ed’s horse racing passion is handicapping. I first heard of Ed from the Daily Racing form Expo in 2004 and was immediately drawn into trainer statistics as a method of creating a system of focus and discipline in approaching the races as an investment, not a gamble. Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines delves into the passion of discovery of the system, or innovation if you will. Most innovators and entrepreneurs will tell you that they need a rival to drive them. Ed talks about his rival is the “average good handicapper”. To defeat his rival, Ed found his edge in the countless hours of analyzing past performance data, which can be a lonely and difficult endeavor.

Ironically Ed’s ability to independently focus as an adult likely was the result of some of the pain he had has a youth and the hours alone in his sanctuary, the library. In reading this story, I reflected back on my own life and I not only learned about Ed, but I also learned something about myself. Thank you Ed, for a wonderful story and a true, thought provoking experience.
____________________

Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines 

I have just finished Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines by Ed Bain, and this was my second time through the book since I recently acquired it. The first time proved an enjoyable journey through a “stream-of-consciousness” narrative that I couldn’t put down—good story and addictive personal story-telling. The author states in the front matter that this is a work of “fiction.” Well, maybe. But all good fiction draws from life, and my wager is that this fiction is close to Ed’s real deal, and so much the better. Great stuff!

I knew as I read that a lot of interesting handicapping information was flowing by like a river—thus the immediate “second reading.” I took a yellow highlighter and had a grand time. Anyone who loves racing, handicapping, or an angle on how to “do well” NEEDS to read this book. Ed is kind enough to give us a great story, AND the insider information on his system…one that uses his specific talents and genius to grand effect. This book belongs in any library of racing and wagering, and be sure to read it at least TWICE! Looking forward to ordering/subscribing to and reading his other offerings, especially those that pertain to Southern California. Thanks for sharing your story and your talents, Ed!

Bill Mentes Best book I’ve read since “Kinky Handicapping!” September 13 at 1:20pm

Donald Altemose an orderly and eclectic look at life and horse racing. Recommend highly October 21 at 3:31am

Saari Sedillo reviewed Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines — 5 star October 20 at 9:44am ·
Very compelling book I couldn’t put it down I read the entire book in 2 days

Mark Cramer I hope this book circulates beyond the usual hard-core horseplayers because it contains many hard-learned lessons from an incredibly fractured childhood and adolescence, a troubled but regenerating tour in the marines, and the ghosts of the past that haunt him as he tries to reconstruct his adult life, relying on numbers and facts to ward off the irrational life that envelopes him. October 21 at 5:44am

Charles Bedard · Very readable book. Finished it quickly and enjoyed it immensely. · October 23 at 6:06pm


Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines is a revealing and engaging story about the human condition and the enormous discipline and psychological stamina required to even consider the possibility of winning at the races. Mark Cramer Author

Many successful gamblers come from diverse backgrounds with unique upbringings.  Ed’s triumphant career as a professional player is no exception.

Book Store

_________________

The hardships and growing pains that every player faces as a fledgling racing aficionado affect us all. However, it’s the school of hard knocks, bad beats and harsh realities of the game learned early on that often lay the foundation for successful play later. Some adjust but most don’t. Ed is one of those rare exceptions. His methodical and statistical approach to betting goes against the grain of every racing text book and supposed expert’s philosophy in the field. His meticulous approach to betting and life in general makes this work a must-read for any diehard handicapper still on the racing journey or any new punter looking to place his first $2 bet.”  –Dean Keppler Former Director of DRF Press for Daily Racing Form and author of Betting the Kentucky Derby and Trainer Angles.


Read Ed Bain’s new Novel Libraries, Yellow Cheese Sandwiches and 38,880 Running Lines? Post a review on Facebook: Review Ed Bain’s New Novel Here

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *