I track the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th race after a Layoff, Claim, Debut and Won last Race. Every bet I make is from these 4 races. The last bet I made with speed was in 1992.
When a trainer lays a horse off and returns him to the track, most want to schedule races every 14 to 21 days. A 4 race cycle takes around 2 to 3 months when things are going good.
There are 86 entries on Saturday at Aqueduct.
25 are moving through the Layoff 4 race form cycle which is 29% of all runners.
22 are moving through the Debut 4 race form cycle.
There are two Maiden races.
17 are in the Won Last Race form cycle.
17 are traveling through the Claim 4 race form cycle.
There were 25 Layoff stats at Aqueduct. These produced a spike play in Race 5 where the number 4 horse, trained by Abigail Adsit is on 1st after a layoff in a sprint race is 6%, 31%, 0% 0% and in today’s race she is on a 2nd after a layoff in a sprint where Abigail is 19-6-31%. Her horse’s Morning Line (M/L) is 15/1 and my stats show she is all or nothing. All 6 from the 19 tries were wins.
There are 22 Debut horses moving through their 4 race form cycle. In Race 6 the number 13 horse is a Linda Rice trained horse. Rice’s Debut percentages of 13% 34% 28% and 29%. Her Debut 2 Sprint numbers at Aqueduct are 84-29 35%. Her horse’s M/L is 8/1.
17 Won their Last Race. In Aqueduct race 8 the number 5 horse is trained by Ollie Figgins III. His percentages on Won Last Race are 139-28-20%. He is 21-2-9% in stakes races, 0 for 5 at six furlongs and no stakes wins outside of Charlestown. Ollie is a Charlestown trainer. His horse’s M/L is 8/5.
There are 17 Claim Stats. In Aqueduct Race 9 the number 1 horses trainer is Rudy Rodriguez who has a Claim 1 Route stat that is in his 4 race form cycle. His numbers are 25%, 15%, 23%, and claim 4 is 24%. His stats on Claim 1 Route are 92-23-25% at Aqueduct. Rudy Rod has claimed 46 horses at Aqueduct which is half of the horses he claimed. He is an Aqueduct claiming trainer. His M/L is 6/1.
Results From the 4 plays today,
Linda Race in Race 6 scratched her horse.
In Race 4 Abigail Adsit hit her spike play, 2nd after a layoff in a sprint, paid $14.40 to win, and $2 exacta paid $61.00.
In Race 8, the 5 horse Oillie Figgins horse from Charlestown ran out.
Race 9, the 1 horse A Rudy Rodriguez Claim 1 Route at Aqueduct won and paid $8.00 to win and $2 exacta paid $95.50.