I Like Betting on Millionaires

The Santa Anita racing meet just closed. Over the past 4 years there were 146 jockeys who went to post. Santa Anita has a very competitive jockey colony. The way I record jockey statistics is track specific, separated by jockey-trainer, sprint and route and the count is for the exacta 40% is bold and in red and 50% is bold and in blue. These are the statistics and colors that I like to bet.

Santa Anita has the big race riders of Mike Smith, a recent Triple Crown winner who has earned over $320 million.  His 10% is worth over $32 million. Victor Espinoza, also a recent Triple Crown winner, produced $198 million in purses and almost $20 million for his commissions and Gary Stevens who has won each leg of the Triple Crown three times who has earned over $256 million in purses and his 10% is worth around $26 million in commissions.

In the Garden spot is Rafael Bejarano who has earned for his career a little over $195 million and $19 million for himself and Kentucky Derby winner Kent Desormeaux with just under $198 million in earnings and a personal income of around $19 million.  Make a mistake and

these jockeys can make the next move up; Flavien Prat who has earned over $36 million and commissions of $3.6 million, Joe Talamo has earned just under $98 million and $9 million for himself. Tyler Baze has won about $112 million and $11 million for his commissions. Edwin Maldonado has cashed for over $35 million and his commission is over $3.5 million. Two-time Kentucky Derby winner Mario Gutierrez has earned just under $45 million and $4.5 million for his percentage.  And there are more quality jockeys sitting behind them. The competition for mounts at Santa Anita is unseen by the grandstand.

All the top riders at Santa Anita are veterans. Very few bug boys make it here. The Route races at Santa Anita is where the Triple Crown starts its annual run with trainers like Bob Baffert and Doug O’Neil. The line up of jockeys is formidable. 131 jockeys went to post in Route races. There are 131 jockeys willing to replace these millionaires who are at the top and there are other millionaires trying to replace other millionaires above them.There were 11 races on closing day at Santa Anita with a total purse payout of $590,000. The winner gets 60%, $354,000 and the winning jockey gets 10%, just over $35,000 awarded in commissions. That is why 146 jockeys have taken a shot at Santa Anita. The top 10 jockeys are really 20 deep.

Mike Smith earned around $312,000 for the three Triple Crown wins, about six and a half minutes of work. Around 25% of his commission went to the jockey agent who books his mounts, $77,000 and 10% goes to Mike Smith’s valet around $31,000. The valets keep the jockeys looking like the millionaires that they are. In total $109,000 which nets Mike about $200,000 before taxes from three races. Two different jockey’s, both based at Santa Anita won the Triple Crown two out of the last four years.

The way I determine how good a jockey is, is through the trainers and their red and blue statistics. The red stats generally have a larger number of races than the blue stats. Blue has stats that are 50% in the exacta and this catches a lot of 4 for 8 or 5 for 10 stats and many of these are for small start trainers. So how many red and blue stats does it take to make a millionaire in route races? According to the trainers; Rafael Bejarano is one of the best millionaires to put on your horse .Bejarano has raced for 78 different trainers. 16 trainers in route races have red and blue stats, 21% Rafael has very big stats to bet on. Rafael has earned over $19 million for himself and over $195 million for his owners for all his races

Elvis Trujillo has two red or blue stats from 33 route trainers, 6% however, he has earned $70 million on the track, $7 million in commissions. Trujillo needs more route races to get to that $100 million in earnings mark. Like me Elvis Trujillo is probably only aware of today’s races and not what happened yesterday.

Mike Smith rode for 43 trainers and 7 are red or blue stats, 16%. Kent Desormeaux rode for 43 trainers with 7 red or blue stats, 16% and Joe Talamo has 72 trainers that supplied him with 7 red or blue stats, 10%. Talamo has almost $100 million in earnings, Smith almost $314 million and Desormeaux has $198 million and they each earn 10%.

55 trainers went to post with Drayden Van Dyke. Two were red or blue stats, 4%. Van Dyke still earned $25 million overall on the track and $2.5 million for his 10%. These kind of stats and earnings is an indicator of how good Van Dyke is in a very talented group of very competitive and driven jockey colony.  The big purse money is in route races and he still produces a good living without a lot of support from the route trainers.

Santiago Gonzalez has $16 million in earnings, $1.6 million for his commission. 44 trainers that Gonzalez rode for have 6 red and blue stats, 14%.

Gary Stevens has stats with 49 trainers and produce 6 40% and 50% red and blue stats, 12%. He has earned $256 million in purses and over $25 million in personal income.

Victor Espinoza raced for 40 trainers and 5 were red or blue, 13%. He cashed for almost $198 million for his owners and they paid him over $19 million. Sometimes I get confused who owns the Bentley.

Tyler Baze raced for 90 trainers and had 4 red or blue statistics, 4%.  Baze has cashed for almost $112 million and around $11 million in personal income.

On closing day Tyler Baze won 3 races with purses that totaled $179,000. The winning owner made 60% and Tyler Baze made 10% of that, about $10,800.

Rafael Bejarano won 2 races with purses totaling $163,000. The owner made over $107,000 and Bejarano’s 10% commission was over $10,000.

Kent Desormeaux hit one race with a purse of $36,000.  $21,600 went to the owner and Desormeaux cashed for about $2,100.

Flavien Prat hit the 2nd race and race 7 on closing day for total purse money of $60,000.  $36,000 went to the owners and $3,600 Prat earned for himself.

Joe Talamo scored on race 8 with a $59,000 purse. $35,400 went to the owner and Talamo went home with over $3,000.

Tyler Conner won race 4 with a purse of $30,000. $18,000 went to the owner and Conner made $1,800 in commissions. Tyler Conner has earned $11 million on the track and his 10% is $1.1 million.

The last race on closing day was won by Triple Crown winner Mike smith for a purse of $63,000. $37,800 of this purse was for the owner and $3,780 was Smith’s 10% commission. 146 other jockeys are trying to do what he is doing.

The rewards of being a jockey are if you can catch on as a jockey you can earn millions in commissions. The reality is 146 are trying to muscle their way into these millions.  The competition for mounts is relentless. When a jockey makes it they have to maintain that ability to race and win even if they are injured or ill. If they have to take time off to recover another jockey just as talented as he is will step right in. Jockeys can not rest on their laurels like a Triple Crown winner because another Triple Crown winner can replace you or he will be replaced by another jockey who is just as good,

Charles Darwin said “The environment determines what an animal behaves like and looks like.”  The jockey colony at Santa Anita is civil to each other and the public. Ask any jockey a question and you will get a direct and honest answer.  I bet on millionaires but none of them act like millionaires. They leave the politics of securing mounts to their jockey agent and their differences with each other are handled mostly in the jockey’s room. You would never know all these jockeys are wealthy. Maybe Darwin was talking about jockeys or maybe he was talking about me. I like betting on millionaires.
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Ed Bain author of new Horse Racing Novel
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Bain has been betting professionally on thoroughbred horse racing since 1994 using the statistics that he has compiled.

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Betting Menu

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I found a horse to bet through a trainer exacta stat. So what should I bet?

The double? I have a great exacta stat and if he wins I could single him in the double. It should be between the favorite and the second favorite in the second race. That could be a good bet.

Maybe single him in a pick three and then do a spread. Single my stat with the two favorites in the next race and all in the last leg of the pick three.

I could do a pick four; one with two with all in the 3rd leg and all in the final leg and if I hit maybe have a really good day however, to do that will run up the cost of the bet because I now have to look at how much to spread the bet to have a shot at cashing in serial race pools. Odds and payouts are an influence on my selections. If I have a single I can spread the bet in the races I need to.

The double is out.

The pick three is out.

The pick four is also out.

The reason is I have a trainer exacta stat is so I do not look at serial races. It is tough enough to hit the race. I think I have an advantage because I also have to do a spread to hit that exacta.

Cost and the amount of horses needed for the spread is always an issue. Well that doesn’t sound so bad. My hit rate is 25%. I like to bet trainer stats that are 40% or more in the exacta as an anchor.  If the stat can come in 1st or 2nd I will cash 1 out of every 4 bets I make from a 40% plus trainer exacta stat. Can I bet this stat when the trainer is trying to hit with this horse and can I do a spread big enough to the other runners to fill the exacta and cash my bet.

I have an 8 horse field and I have a standard exacta key bet as one with three horses and three with one. It looks like two of the top four runners will take the exacta. The other four are 10/1 odds and higher and have major knocks against them.

My stat horse is the second favorite in this race at 3/1. The favorite is 8/5.  A $2.00 exacta box would cost $6 bucks each way for my standard key bet of one with three and three with one for a total of $12.00?  I could box the four horses and it would cost $24 and any two of these four can come in first and second and I hit the exacta. The exacta will pay from $28 to $80 if it hits. These payouts happen every day. So can I hit this race?

Most likely if I hit the exacta it will pay around $35 to $45 dollars.

A four horse trifecta box is out.  If the favorite and second favorite have to be included in the bet the trifecta will not pay much.

I could bet win/place if my 3/1 shot comes in I make $8.00 for every $2.00 I bet.  If my horse places that will pay about $4.00 for every $2.00 I bet.

I like the exacta key as a bet, one with three in an eight horse field for a $2 bet costs $6.00.  Turn it around three with one is also $6 dollars for a total of $12.  If I was going to bet the same amount for a four horse box for $24 I could put the other $12 into my exacta spread and hit it multiple times.

And these are my betting menu choices; an exacta one with three and three with one.
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Maiden Special Weights to Maiden Claim “The Big Drop”

Maiden Special Weights (MSW) is a class that has well bred horses and most of the stars of racing come from this class level. MSW purses are around the fourth largest purses from about twenty class levels at each track.

Maiden Claims (MCL) purse amounts are located at the bottom of the class purse structure. The drop from MSW to MCL is the biggest drop in racing.

Belmont Park MSW Purse’s starts at around $50,000 and is the start of the MSW purse ladder. Belmont cards Maiden Special Weight purses that go up to $100,000. This is equivalent to a good stakes purse. The drop to Maiden Claim starts at around $20,000.

Santa Anita MSW purse starts at around $50,000 and MCL begins around $20,000.

Woodbine MSW also starts at about $50,000 and the drop to MCL is around $20,000.

When a horse wins a MSW purse of $62,000 at Belmont the owner receives 60% of the purse and his commission is $37,200. The MCL purse of $20,000 also has a 60% commission and has a payout to the owner of $12,000. There is over a $25,000 difference when MSW drops in class to MCL which is the reason why MSW to MCL is the largest drop in racing.

This is not an angle play. I disagree with calling a statistic an angle. The definition of angle is a particular way of approaching or considering an issue or problem. Horse Racing statistics are the amount of races and wins and then the percentage of these wins. It is easy to evaluate a statistic rather than considering something.

Many owners do not want their young expensive horse to be put up for sale at a bargain basement price and lose their horse to a claim so they run their horse over and over in MSW.  Sometime they run them 10 or 12 times before they drop their horse into the class of Maiden Claim.

The large trainers at New York, Southern California and Woodbine are the trainers who utilize this MSW drop to MCL to get the purse as well as get their horse claimed away.

Trainers who have a large stable like Bob Baffert in Southern California, or Chad Brown, Todd Pletcher, and Linda Rice in New York and Mark Casse at Woodbine race their high pedigree two and three year olds in the MSW class. These are the trainers you want to bet who are moving from Maiden Special Weight to Maiden Claim. These trainers have to discuss with their owners that to get a win they have to drop their horse into MCL.  This is a big move for the owner. The owner has invested in the horse’s pedigree and the gamble was that he purchased a stakes winner. To have a graded stakes horse that they will put in to the breeding shed and the owner hopes to make millions of dollars for syndicating shares of his horse. With the Maiden Special Weight class this happens.

Well bred horses from Chad Brown dropping into MCL events are up for sale and when another owner claims a well bred horse from Chad Brown the new owner hopes he just claimed a stakes runner.

From the betting side of racing most players know about that big drop. For me it is only the first drop into the Maiden Claiming class that is the bet to make. If their horse has been in MCL for their second race at this class level then I pass the bet.

It’s an easy play to find however, they are not there to bet every day or even every week. If you look for this by handicapping on race 1 horse 1 then you handicap in the same way as the betting public. This bet is not that easy to find and then try to determine can this horse win because of the big drop. You should be really cautious for this style of handicapping. Not bet a drop into the Maiden Claiming from Maiden Special Weights races by all trainers. The five trainers I mentioned have a class pedigree edge that is hidden and the big drop with that pedigree makes the bet a more attractive reason to place a bet. It is also a business decision for the owner so it is a planned move for them as well as their trainer. When I bet the big drop I usually like to place the bet when any of these five trainers return a horse from a layoff or when they are in the 4-race layoff or debut form cycle and then they go for the hit is when I bet with them.


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I Bet Trainer Stats

I Bet Trainer Stats. Bet speed if you want. I’ll take trainers with a go to jockey.

Trainer Mark Casse and jockey Patrick Husbands at Woodbine in sprint races over the past four years went 520-238-46% in the exacta stats. About 130 sprint races per year.

April 21st was opening day at Woodbine and since there has been 22 racing days for trainer Mark Casse and jockey Patrick Husbands. 19 of these 22 days they teamed up in sprint races.

There are two ways to approach a big stat like this; bet them all or cherry pick.

I recorded how Casse and Husbands performed in sprint races in an excel spreadsheet and from opening day they’ve ran in a total of 40 sprint races

Click Photos for Larger Image

 

The first six races up to column F are self explainable. The last seven is where I will center up on.

Starting with column G (Odds) which are the finishing odds.

(Exacta) this column will only show three things; if the horse won, placed or ran Out of the exacta

(Payouts) is for win or place payouts.

(Exacta payout) shows every exacta payout where Casse and Husbands were 1st or 2nd in the exacta.

(Other Exacta Horse) is the non Casse and Husbands horse that made it into the exacta and how they ended up in odds from 1st Favorite on up.

(Field Size) the number of runners in the race.

On opening day April 21 in race 8 Mark Casse and Patrick Cousins had Conquest Enforcer ready to run he ran Out of the exacta.

This is the chronological results from then to now.

Casse and Husbands have 2 runners the next day the 22nd . In race 4 Sanity won. Casse  and Husbands had their first sprint win and exacta of 2018 at Woodbine. Sanity paid $10.40 He was 4/1. The exacta paid $28.80. The Other Horse which is the other half of the exacta was the 1st Favorite at 9/5 in a 9 horse field.

In races 8 Blueblood placed and paid $2.60. His odds were 7/5. The exacta paid $20.20 and the Second Favorite came in at 3/1 in a 6 horse field.

Casse and Husbands had 3 sprinters entered on the 28th of March.

The 1st sprinter in race 5 Rosemere won and paid $4.40. He was the 6/5 Favorite. The Other horse was the 2nd Favorite at 5/2. The exacta paid $14.40 in a 9 horse field.

In race 6 Connection Ran Out of the exacta.

In Race 8 Let It Ride Mom Won and paid $9.30. The Exacta paid $30.70. The Other Horse for the exacta was the 1st favorite who was 7/5 in an 8 horse field.

March 29 Casse and Husbands have 4 runners. The first runner in race 2 places and pay’s $3.80. Amen Alley was 2/1. The Other Horse for the exacta was the 3rd Favorite at 3/1.The exacta paid $31.60 in a 6 horse field.

Race 7 # 6 Colonel Canuck Ran Out of the exacta.

Race 10 # 4 Picasso Moon Ran Out.

Race 11 # Show Girl Ran Out.

May 4th Race 6 # 2 One Moment Ran Out.

May 5th Race 3 # 6 Kingsport Ran Out of the exacta.

For Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands in sprint races they went to post 12 times since opening day, were in the exacta 5 times for a 42% exacta strike rate. In the first 6 days at Woodbine Casse and Husbands were in the exacta 5 days. All of their Exacta payouts involved the 1st,2nd or 3rd Favorite.

May 6th Casse and Husbands had two runners; race 2 Get the News Placed at 6/5 and paid $2.90 and the exacta paid $31.80. The 2nd Favorite filled the exacta at 9/2 in a 7 horse field. 12 horses went to post in race 5 Southern Greatness Won and paid $ 3.50. The exacta paid $ 7.90. The 2nd Favorite was The Other Horse at 5/2.

May 11th race 6 Souper Shenanigan ran Out of the exacta.

May 12 race 8 Closer Still Won at 8/5 and paid $5.40. The exacta paid $71.20. The 5th Favorite came in at 11/1 in a 7 horse field.

May 13 three more sprinters for Casse and Husbands; race 4 Royal Creed Won paying $4.10 at even money and the exacta paid $28.00. The Other Horse was the 5th favorite at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

Casse’s had Sanity in race 6. He won at 7/2 and paid $9.10. The exacta paid $56.00. The Other Horse in the exacta was the 4th Favorite at 7/1 in a 9 horse field.

Race 7 Florida Won Placed and paid $3.50. The exacta was $19.10.  The 2nd Favorite came in at 5/2 in a 7 horse field. Since the five race losing streak Casse and Husbands hit 6 out of 7 exactas.

May 18 race 7 Picasso Moon Ran Out.

May 19 Race 5 Afleet Connection ran out.

In race 7 # 7 Black Canary Won at 3/2 and paid $ 5.10. The exacta paid $10.20. The Other Horse was the 2nd favorite at 7/5 in a 10 horse field.

May 20th Casse and Husbands had 5 sprinters .

Race 1 Syllable placed with a mutuel of $2.30.  He was the 4/5 Favorite.
The exacta paid $9.50.  The 2nd Favorite came in at 3/2 in a 5 horse field.

Casse and Husbands placed in race 3 with Sow Girl at $2.50 with 6/5 odds. The 3rd favorite won at 5/2 the exacta paid $21.50.

The third sprinter in race 7 Honor and Trust ran out.

The 4th entry in race 8 Listendlisten ran out.

The 5th sprinter in race 9 Vanish ran out.

May 21 race 6 Undermine ran out.

Race 7 # 6 Commute ran out.

May 26th race 7 Get The News ran out.

May 26th race 9 4 Hollow Point ran out.

Casse and Husbands have been out of the exacta for 7 races in a row.

The last race of the day in race 10 Casse and Husbands break the losing streak with Dea who won at 5/2 and paid $7.80. The exacta paid $36.90. The Other Horse was the 2nd Favorite at 3/1 in a 12 horse field.

May 27th Casse and Husbands hit another sprinter in race 7 with Salute with Honor and paid $4.80, 7/5 odds. The exacta was $29.60. The 5th Favorite filled the exacta at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

June 1st they Won with Ride The Comet at 3/1 paying $8.20. The exacta paid $74.80 when the 4th Favorite filled the exacta at 13/1 in a 7 horse field.

June 2nd Casse and Husbands had three sprinters;
Race 5 # 2 Sailng By ran out.

Race 7 # 4 Elusive Quality Won paying $5.10 at 3/2 odds and the exacta paid $15.70. The 2nd Favorite came in at 5/2 in a 9 horse field.

Race 8 Conquest Panthera ran out.

June 3rd Casse and Husbands had three more sprinters; Race 6 Fly Away Pride Places at 6/5 and pays $3.50. The exacta is $109.30. The 5th Favorite came in at 9/1 in an 8 horse field.

Race 9 Conquest Lemonraid placed at 25/1. There was no payout for second place. It was a 4 horse field the exacta paid $6.60. The 1st Favorite won at 1/10 odds in a 4 horse field.

Race 11 # 5 Undermine ran out.

Casse and Husbands went 9-7-78% in the exacta on their last 9.

Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands since opening day went to post with 40 sprinters, 20 hit the exacta for a 50% exacta hit rate.

From the 20 exactas 9 won and 11 placed. 19 racing days and Casse and Husbands averaged 2.1 runners a day even though there were only 4 days with 2 runners. Casse and Husbands hit and lost in bunches.

They had two losing streaks. The first was 5 races then the second was 7 races. They had 3 exacta streaks of 3 races and one 4 race exacta streak.

6 horses produced exactas of $15.70 or less. All had the 1st or the 2nd Favorite as half the exacta.

The Other Horse is a very interesting category. It shows how the exacta relates to the favorites and the payouts.

The 1st Favorite came in 3 times with Casse and Husbands.

The 2nd Favorite was the other half of the exacta 9 times

The 3rd favorite 2 times.

The 4th Favorite 2 times.

The 5th Favorite 4 times.

If my betting plan was one key horse and three fillers then turn it around and bet 3 fillers with the key horse for the exacta that’s a total of 4 horses I could key Casse and effectively bet up to the 4th Favorite and cash on 16 of Casse’s 20 exactas. I label that cherry picking.

Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands hit 20 exactas from their sprinters and averaged a $32.69 exacta.

Last Week I spent two days looking at videos on handicapping. I know that from these two days I did not watch, listen or find a trainer handicapper. All were speed players trying to ad in a positive trainer stat to their speed play or exotic bet. If they were trainers players they would have said I bet trainers. Mark Casse and Patrick Husbands at Woodbine in sprint races over the past 4 years went 520-238-46%. This year on their first 40 sprint races at Woodbine they have been in the exacta 20 times for a 50% strike rate. Today Saturday the 9th at Woodbine Trainer Mark Casse and Jockey Patrick Husbands have 3 sprinters.

Race 3 # 9 Blackout 6/1

Race 5 # 5 Hanalei Moon 7/2

Race 6 # 4 Closer Still 6/1

For The Triple Crown I will root for Justify at 4/5.

 

YOUTUBE AND HANDICAPPING

I went to YouTube and typed in “Horse Racing Handicapping Statistics” and an amazing amount of videos came up, all with the same corresponding handicapping language. I was not looking for anything in particular. I was just looking for a video that would catch my interest. I did not view any video that had the word system in it or any that had hype words like guarantee or purchase my product on Wednesday and on Saturday you will be on a vacation in Paris.

The word used often was angles. Applying your angles and finding live long shots or certain angles with a big price was a popular expression. That was about it for angles. Some videos would mention 2nd after a layoff as an angle however, no stats were given. They did mention patterns. They said this horse has a good form pattern and the jockey has been on this horse the last five races. None mentioned or identified where the form cycle started or ends or the jockey-trainer hit rate. Some players tried to help by saying what they believe was important by what to circle on the Racing Form.

Many videos were from the United Kingdom. Most were not players but services selling stuff to handicappers. I have to say some were very well produced by showing results with a contested finish. They supplied flash and optics to their products and they had some of the best music to get you in the mood to be interested in their product.

The U.S. videos did not have as much flash and style. They consisted mostly of players explaining their products in the videos, products showing mostly the big three. Then there were some handicappers who have descent product knowledge on the Racing Form who wanted to help by explaining what they had learned and what was important to handicap.

It’s the players that were trying to help with their handicapping knowledge and trying to pass that knowledge to any one who will listen that can be sort of interesting. I did get some videos. One was a good short video named Probability vs. Odds. This proves there are many levels to handicapping; the angle guys end up perpetuating the same style of handicapping techniques as the pattern guys. Patterns were discussed without the aid of statistics. The same issue with angles. I do not know how you can explain either of these without statistics. My key word on my query was statistics.

The Racing Form had some hour and longer shows. I liked what Formulator is about and how they used it although; they did miss the most important handicapping starting point, track specific information. Their videos are really long. One talked about trainer stats. He discussed stats on trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. He said he pulled up Kiaran stats at all tracks and then removed New York and Gulfstream Park where McLaughlin primarily races. McLaughlin was 96-4 everywhere else. The player who found that stat bet into these 4 winners for other reasons, probably speed because speed is one dimensional once they find the fastest horse that is the bet. Speed players do not need any other information. He ignored the 92 from 96 races that lost. He did not understand that he had found the big important statistic to make a decision with which was to pass the bet. I shook my head at that move. 92 losers and he still bet Kiarans horse.

The biggest take away for me on their videos is none rounded out the statistic with its corresponding percentage, like the trainer’s current record is 53-13 and then no percentage. The 53-13 stat made me feel like it was a negative to them. 24% is a great hit rate and this hit rate puts this trainer in the elite class. On small sample size they said things like they need big samples because small samples rely on a leap of faith.

One reason it is hard for the players in these videos to improve a handicappers game is because percentages are not used and are rarely mentioned. The handicappers repeat the numbers not the percentages because the information does not include the percentage. To me it’s as important as the number of races and the number of wins and then the percentage has to be part of understanding what you are looking at. If the expert playing McLaughlin’s stat had the percentage listed like this 96-4-4% win rate, he may have had a more intuitive understanding of statistics and win rate. Without the percentages they miss a crucial visual to handicap by eliminating horses through a negative statistic. This is as important as betting a horse with a positive percentage statistic.

Dave Schwartz is a very knowledgeable handicapper and had some interesting videos on Improving Your Game: Horse Racing Math. He uses math, money or percentages in his videos and they are short and easy to understand.

In the search bar I typed in Horse racing speed and YouTube came up with hour after hour, video after video of speed handicapping. If I was a new player I would probably be influenced with this volume of videos and become a speed player. It seems that all speed players believe that speed is the truth the light and the way. It took a few years of going to the track before I became a serious player with speed and then I made my own speed figs. I am fortunate because that one year I tracked my bets and speed did not make the cut. I lost money. I bailed out of playing speed and developed trainer statistics and it was the best thing I ever did in my life of betting on the horses.

I would never advise a player not to try speed or statistics. What works for some may not work for others. With experience you may come up with the better mouse trap to bet with.

Betting is about your personal decisions with what information you have. Handicapping is labor intensive; finding things that work for each player means they are determined to find something that works for their approach or add into their handicapping regime. Handicapping this way means we are not a lazy bunch. You could say we are ruthless, competitive and prefer caffeine.  I mostly liked the YouTube videos on statistical handicapping. I could see where it could help or hinder someone trying to figure out how to bet on the horses. The best teacher in life is experience.
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edbain.com News
Re: The online statistics on my website edbain.com
The database is only publishing some races and some tracks and not all so the programmer is still trying to locate the issue. The database is massive and updates daily and sometimes something happens to one part and it affects the whole and the programmers has to go through each calculation to find where this is in order to correct it.  This is a tedious as well as costly task. I am unable to say when we’ll be fully back up and running, it could be today or it could be another week. As a player who uses my statistics I understand the inconvience this issue has caused and I appreciate everyones patience regarding this.  To all current subscribers, you’re welcome to view the races that are currently showing. Please know we will be adding all this down time back into your subscription.
The same applies to anyone who purchases a new subscription.
edbain.com PPs You will be able to view the stats that are posting now though your subscription won’t actually begin until all the races are posting.
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